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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
For Sittard
S T S T T
1–1
Full-time
NAC Breda
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
34%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
69%
55%
Both score Ø 62%
76%
48%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,59 xG 0,75
44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 12. · NAC Breda 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 30 24 2 4 +44 +29.9 74
2 Feyenoord 29 16 6 7 +21 +25.6 54
3 Nijmegen 29 15 8 6 +24 +9.3 53
4 Twente 30 14 11 5 +19 +26.8 53
5 Ajax 29 12 12 5 +18 +7.9 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 29 13 6 10 +4 +18.0 45
7 Utrecht 29 12 7 10 +13 +2.4 43
8 Heerenveen 28 12 7 9 +6 +9.8 43
9 Groningen 29 12 6 11 +7 +12.3 42
10 Sparta Rotterdam 30 12 6 12 -14 -4.9 42
11 Go Ahead Eagles 30 8 12 10 +5 -17.1 36
12 For Sittard 29 10 5 14 -11 -14.8 35
13 Zwolle 29 8 9 12 -20 -17.7 33
14 Volendam 30 7 7 16 -19 -24.2 28
15 Telstar 30 6 9 15 -13 -12.1 27
16 Excelsior 29 7 6 16 -20 -16.5 27
17 NAC Breda 29 5 9 15 -21 -8.7 24
18 Heracles 30 5 4 21 -43 -26.2 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard NAC Breda
Kristoffer Peterson 🟨
3′
Shawn Adewoye 🟨
23′
37′
🔁 M. Nassoh
↦ L. Holtby
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Peterson
N. Kasanwirjo
56′
65′
🔁 B. Ghalidi
↦ J. Talvitie
65′
🔁 A. Salama
↦ F. Jensen
M. Ihattaren 🔁
↦ D. Limnios
68′
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ K. Sierhuis
68′
Y. Oukili 🔁
↦ K. Peterson
68′
73′
🟨 Andre Ayew
78′
🔁 M. Soumano
↦ A. Ayew
78′
🔁 P. Reulen
↦ K. Sowah
O. Johnson 🔁
↦ S. van Ottele
86′
I. Marquez 🔁
↦ L. Duijvestijn
86′
90′
M. Nassoh 1–1
A. Salama
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
1 L. Koopmans G
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
4 S. Adewoye D
28 J. Hubner D
8 J. Dahlhaus D
6 S. van Ottele M
23 P. Brittijn M
18 D. Limnios M
70 L. Duijvestijn M
7 K. Peterson M
9 K. Sierhuis F
Bench (9)
48 L. van Parys
25 N. Martens
52 M. Ihattaren
45 O. Johnson
36 H. Korkmazyurek
19 P. Gladon
44 I. Marquez
5 Y. Oukili
38 T. Schenkhuizen

Coach: Danny Buijs

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
99 D. Bielica G
3 D. Odoi D
12 L. Greiml D
8 C. Leemans D
4 B. Kemper D
20 F. Jensen M
14 K. Sowah M
32 J. Talvitie M
90 L. Holtby M
11 R. Paula M
24 A. Ayew F
Bench (12)
31 K. Lamprou
15 E. Mahmutovic
22 R. Hillen
10 M. Nassoh
2 B. Lucassen
7 C. Brym
16 M. Balard
55 B. Ghalidi
19 A. Salama
9 M. Soumano
25 C. Valerius
26 P. Reulen

Coach: Carl Hoefkens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U ✓
3,48
B
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.