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La Liga
Referee: J Manzano
Mallorca
T U S T S
3–0
Full-time
Vallecano
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
67%
37%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,68 xG 1,95
45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 6
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 18. · Vallecano 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 31 26 1 4 +54 +39.6 79
2 Real Madrid 31 22 4 5 +36 +34.3 70
3 Villarreal 30 18 4 8 +19 +9.8 58
4 Ath Madrid 31 17 6 8 +19 +9.7 57
5 Betis 31 11 13 7 +7 +9.8 46
6 Celta 30 11 11 8 +7 +4.3 44
7 Sociedad 31 11 9 11 +1 -1.2 42
8 Getafe 30 12 5 13 -4 -7.6 41
9 Osasuna 31 10 9 12 -1 -3.9 39
10 Espanol 31 10 8 13 -11 -4.3 38
11 Ath Bilbao 30 11 5 14 -11 +9.0 38
12 Girona 31 9 11 11 -12 -11.4 38
13 Vallecano 30 8 11 11 -6 +3.3 35
14 Valencia 31 9 8 14 -12 +3.5 35
15 Sevilla 31 9 7 15 -12 -17.0 34
16 Alaves 31 8 9 14 -11 -4.0 33
17 Elche 31 7 11 13 -8 -20.6 32
18 Mallorca 30 8 7 15 -12 -17.4 31
19 Levante 30 6 8 16 -16 -15.6 26
20 Oviedo 30 5 9 16 -27 -20.5 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Vallecano
23′
🟨 Nobel Mendy
32′
🟨 Florian Lejeune
1–0 V. Muriqi
Samu Costa
36′
2–0 V. Muriqi
Z. Luvumbo
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. de Frutos
↦ N. Mendy
46′
🔁 P. Ciss
↦ O. Valentin
53′
🟨 Randy Nteka
J. Virgili 🔁
↦ Z. Luvumbo
62′
65′
🟨 Andrei Rațiu
3–0 J. Virgili
P. Torre
65′
67′
🔁 P. Chavarria
↦ I. Akhomach
T. Asano 🔁
↦ P. Torre
72′
M. Kumbulla 🔁
↦ Samu Costa
72′
77′
🔁 S. Camello
↦ A. Garcia
David López 🟨
80′
A. Prats 🔁
↦ P. Maffeo
81′
A. Sanchez 🔁
↦ M. Morlanes
81′
81′
🔁 Alemao
↦ R. Nteka
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-3-1-2
1 L. Roman G
23 P. Maffeo D
27 D. Lopez D
5 O. Mascarell D
22 J. Mojica D
12 Samu Costa M
10 S. Darder M
8 M. Morlanes M
20 P. Torre M
15 Z. Luvumbo F
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
25 Pichu Cuellar
9 A. Prats
11 T. Asano
6 A. Sanchez
19 J. Llabres
4 M. Kumbulla
3 T. Lato
2 M. Morey Bauza
30 J. Kalumba
17 J. Virgili
34 J. Olaizola
39 J. Garcia

Coach: Martin Demichelis

Vallecano

4-3-3
1 D. Cardenas G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
32 N. Mendy D
22 Pacha D
4 P. Diaz M
23 O. Valentin M
15 G. Gumbau M
12 I. Akhomach F
11 R. Nteka F
18 A. Garcia F
Bench (12)
13 A. Batalla
8 O. Trejo
17 U. Lopez
5 Luiz Felipe
9 Alemao
3 P. Chavarria
14 C. Martin
20 I. Balliu
7 I. Palazon
19 J. de Frutos
6 P. Ciss
10 S. Camello

Coach: Inigo Perez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,41
U
3,15
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manzano · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.