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Eliteserien

Referee: Christian Moen

Rosenborg

S T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,60 xG 1,15

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 16. · Sarpsborg 08 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	4	4	0	0	+9	+7.4	12
2	Viking	4	3	0	1	+8	+5.2	9
3	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.0	9
4	Valerenga	3	2	0	1	+2	-2.7	6
5	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.0	6
6	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
7	Brann	3	1	0	2	+2	+0.2	3
8	KFUM Oslo	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
9	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.0	3
10	Molde	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
11	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.0	3
12	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.0	3
13	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.5	3
14	Start	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.3	2
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.1	1
16	Rosenborg	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	3	3	0	0	+8	+6.8	9
2	Viking	2	2	0	0	+8	+2.5	6
3	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
5	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.2	3
6	Molde	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
7	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.5	3
8	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
9	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.0	3
10	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
11	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
12	Brann	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
13	Rosenborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
14	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
15	Aalesund	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Brann	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.8	3
3	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
4	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
7	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.8	3
8	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.0	3
9	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	-3	-3.3	3
10	Aalesund	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
11	Start	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
12	KFUM Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
13	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
14	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
15	Rosenborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.