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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gozubuyuk
Nijmegen
S S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 54%
52%
55%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
79%
62%
Both score Ø 69%
79%
59%
Average goals
4,1
3,5
Scored
2,4
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,04 xG 1,68
59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nijmegen 3. · Feyenoord 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 30 24 2 4 +44 +29.9 74
2 Feyenoord 29 16 6 7 +21 +25.6 54
3 Nijmegen 29 15 8 6 +24 +9.3 53
4 Twente 30 14 11 5 +19 +26.8 53
5 Ajax 29 12 12 5 +18 +7.9 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 29 13 6 10 +4 +18.0 45
7 Utrecht 29 12 7 10 +13 +2.4 43
8 Heerenveen 28 12 7 9 +6 +9.8 43
9 Groningen 29 12 6 11 +7 +12.3 42
10 Sparta Rotterdam 30 12 6 12 -14 -4.9 42
11 Go Ahead Eagles 30 8 12 10 +5 -17.1 36
12 For Sittard 30 10 6 14 -11 -14.0 36
13 Zwolle 29 8 9 12 -20 -17.7 33
14 Volendam 30 7 7 16 -19 -24.2 28
15 Telstar 30 6 9 15 -13 -12.1 27
16 Excelsior 29 7 6 16 -20 -16.5 27
17 NAC Breda 30 5 10 15 -21 -9.5 25
18 Heracles 30 5 4 21 -43 -26.2 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,84
B
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,37
U2,5 ✓
2,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.