Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nijmegen
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | +44 | +29.9 | 74 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | +21 | +25.6 | 54 |
| 3 |
Nijmegen
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | +9.3 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | +19 | +26.8 | 53 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +18 | +7.9 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | +18.0 | 45 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +13 | +2.4 | 43 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +6 | +9.8 | 43 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | +7 | +12.3 | 42 |
| 10 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | -14 | -4.9 | 42 |
| 11 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | +5 | -17.1 | 36 |
| 12 |
For Sittard
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | -14.0 | 36 |
| 13 |
Zwolle
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -20 | -17.7 | 33 |
| 14 |
Volendam
|
30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -19 | -24.2 | 28 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -13 | -12.1 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | -16.5 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -21 | -9.5 | 25 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | -43 | -26.2 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Excelsior
Nijmegen
Nijmegen
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
Nijmegen
Nijmegen
Volendam
Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.