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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Lech Poznan

T S S S U

3–3

Full-time

GKS Katowice

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan GKS Katowice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

67%

48%

Both score Ø 54%

67%

41%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,45 xG 1,69

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 9

9 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 9

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 1. · GKS Katowice 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	27	12	9	6	+9	+20.3	45
2	Zaglebie	28	12	8	8	+9	-4.8	44
3	Jagiellonia	28	11	10	7	+9	-2.6	43
4	Gornik Zabrze	28	12	7	9	+7	-4.5	43
5	Lechia Gdansk	28	12	6	10	+4	+5.2	42
6	Wisla Plock	28	11	9	8	+3	-0.9	42
7	Rakow	28	11	7	10	+2	+8.6	40
8	GKS Katowice	27	12	3	12	+1	-7.2	39
9	Motor Lublin	28	9	12	7	-3	-7.3	39
10	Korona Kielce	28	10	7	11	+2	-3.2	37
11	Cracovia	28	9	10	9	+0	+2.0	37
12	Piast Gliwice	27	10	5	12	-2	-2.9	35
13	Radomiak Radom	28	8	10	10	+1	-0.9	34
14	Legia	28	7	13	8	+1	+3.4	34
15	Pogon Szczecin	27	10	4	13	-6	+6.9	34
16	Arka Gdynia	28	9	7	12	-17	-7.9	34
17	Widzew Lodz	28	9	6	13	-2	+6.1	33
18	Nieciecza	28	6	7	15	-18	-10.3	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arka Gdynia	14	8	5	1	+7	-2.6	29
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	1	4	+14	+3.3	28
3	Lechia Gdansk	14	8	3	3	+13	+6.2	27
4	Wisla Plock	14	8	3	3	+6	+2.0	27
5	Zaglebie	14	7	5	2	+13	+2.0	26
6	Pogon Szczecin	14	8	2	4	+7	+8.9	26
7	GKS Katowice	14	8	2	4	+6	-1.5	26
8	Radomiak Radom	14	7	4	3	+14	+8.3	25
9	Jagiellonia	14	7	3	4	+9	+3.5	24
10	Motor Lublin	15	5	8	2	+4	+1.0	23
11	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+6	+13.1	22
12	Widzew Lodz	14	6	4	4	+3	+4.2	22
13	Korona Kielce	14	6	3	5	+5	+4.3	21
14	Legia	14	5	6	3	+5	+3.1	21
15	Cracovia	14	5	6	3	+4	+6.2	21
16	Rakow	13	5	4	4	+2	+4.5	19
17	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+1	+2.2	18
18	Nieciecza	14	3	4	7	-8	-3.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	6	5	3	+3	+7.2	23
2	Rakow	15	6	3	6	+0	+4.1	21
3	Jagiellonia	14	4	7	3	+0	-6.1	19
4	Zaglebie	14	5	3	6	-4	-6.8	18
5	Piast Gliwice	14	5	2	7	-3	-5.2	17
6	Korona Kielce	14	4	4	6	-3	-7.5	16
7	Cracovia	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.1	16
8	Motor Lublin	13	4	4	5	-7	-8.3	16
9	Wisla Plock	14	3	6	5	-3	-2.8	15
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	6	5	-7	-7.8	15
11	Lechia Gdansk	14	4	3	7	-9	-1.0	15
12	Legia	14	2	7	5	-4	+0.2	13
13	GKS Katowice	13	4	1	8	-5	-5.7	13
14	Nieciecza	14	3	3	8	-10	-6.6	12
15	Widzew Lodz	14	3	2	9	-5	+1.9	11
16	Radomiak Radom	14	1	6	7	-13	-9.2	9
17	Pogon Szczecin	13	2	2	9	-13	-2.0	8
18	Arka Gdynia	14	1	2	11	-24	-5.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.