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Super League

Referee: A Kanagasingam

St. Gallen

S U S U S

1–1

Full-time

Lugano

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 52%

55%

48%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

72%

52%

Both score Ø 68%

69%

66%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,64 xG 0,58

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St. Gallen 2. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	30	23	2	5	+38	+6.5	71
2	St. Gallen	29	16	6	7	+23	+9.2	54
3	Lugano	29	14	7	8	+10	-4.5	49
4	Basel	30	14	7	9	+6	+12.1	49
5	Sion	30	11	12	7	+9	+9.7	45
6	Young Boys	30	13	6	11	+5	-1.4	45
7	Luzern	30	9	9	12	+2	+1.1	36
8	Lausanne	30	9	9	12	-4	+4.8	36
9	Servette	30	7	12	11	-8	+2.7	33
10	Zurich	30	9	4	17	-17	-5.0	31
11	Grasshoppers	30	5	9	16	-18	-13.4	24
12	Winterthur	30	4	7	19	-46	-22.0	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	11	2	3	+20	+3.7	35
2	Lugano	15	9	3	3	+11	-1.0	30
3	St. Gallen	15	9	1	5	+12	+12.0	28
4	Young Boys	14	8	2	4	+16	+10.3	26
5	Basel	15	7	5	3	+10	+17.3	26
6	Sion	15	7	5	3	+10	+4.9	26
7	Lausanne	15	4	5	6	+0	+9.2	17
8	Servette	15	3	7	5	-4	-0.6	16
9	Zurich	15	5	1	9	-6	+1.3	16
10	Luzern	15	3	5	7	-1	+3.9	14
11	Grasshoppers	15	3	5	7	-2	-4.0	14
12	Winterthur	14	2	4	8	-14	-4.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	14	12	0	2	+18	+2.8	36
2	St. Gallen	14	7	5	2	+11	-2.8	26
3	Basel	15	7	2	6	-4	-5.3	23
4	Luzern	15	6	4	5	+3	-2.8	22
5	Sion	15	4	7	4	-1	+4.8	19
6	Lugano	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.5	19
7	Lausanne	15	5	4	6	-4	-4.4	19
8	Young Boys	16	5	4	7	-11	-11.7	19
9	Servette	15	4	5	6	-4	+3.4	17
10	Zurich	15	4	3	8	-11	-6.3	15
11	Grasshoppers	15	2	4	9	-16	-9.3	10
12	Winterthur	16	2	3	11	-32	-18.0	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.