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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Zurich

T T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Lugano

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 39%

31%

47%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

81%

47%

Both score Ø 69%

72%

66%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,85 xG 1,70

47% Possession 53%

6 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 10. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	32	23	2	7	+36	+7.1	71
2	St. Gallen	32	17	8	7	+24	+10.7	59
3	Lugano	32	15	9	8	+11	-2.9	54
4	Basel	32	15	8	9	+8	+10.7	53
5	Sion	32	12	13	7	+13	+12.1	49
6	Young Boys	32	13	8	11	+5	-3.0	47
7	Luzern	32	10	9	13	+3	+2.3	39
8	Servette	32	9	12	11	+0	+7.4	39
9	Lausanne	32	10	9	13	-7	+3.7	39
10	Zurich	32	10	4	18	-17	-7.5	34
11	Grasshoppers	32	5	9	18	-27	-19.6	24
12	Winterthur	32	4	7	21	-49	-20.9	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	11	2	3	+20	+3.7	35
2	Lugano	16	10	3	3	+12	-0.8	33
3	St. Gallen	17	10	2	5	+13	+13.8	32
4	Young Boys	15	8	3	4	+16	+9.0	27
5	Basel	16	7	6	3	+10	+17.6	27
6	Sion	16	7	6	3	+10	+5.2	27
7	Servette	17	5	7	5	+4	+4.0	22
8	Lausanne	16	5	5	6	+1	+9.8	20
9	Zurich	16	6	1	9	-5	+0.5	19
10	Luzern	16	4	5	7	+3	+5.6	17
11	Grasshoppers	16	3	5	8	-6	-6.1	14
12	Winterthur	15	2	4	9	-16	-2.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	12	0	4	+16	+3.4	36
2	St. Gallen	15	7	6	2	+11	-3.1	27
3	Basel	16	8	2	6	-2	-6.9	26
4	Sion	16	5	7	4	+3	+6.9	22
5	Luzern	16	6	4	6	+0	-3.4	22
6	Lugano	16	5	6	5	-1	-2.2	21
7	Young Boys	17	5	5	7	-11	-12.0	20
8	Lausanne	16	5	4	7	-8	-6.1	19
9	Servette	15	4	5	6	-4	+3.4	17
10	Zurich	16	4	3	9	-12	-8.0	15
11	Grasshoppers	16	2	4	10	-21	-13.5	10
12	Winterthur	17	2	3	12	-33	-18.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.