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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Anderlecht
U S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Beerschot VA
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 27%
45%
8%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
55%
75%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
0,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,59 xG 0,96
68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 5. · Beerschot VA 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 8 3 1 +19 +12.5 27
2 Genk 12 8 2 2 +10 +14.3 26
3 Antwerp 10 7 2 1 +17 +4.8 23
4 Gent 12 6 3 3 +13 -1.4 21
5 Anderlecht 11 5 5 1 +14 +7.6 20
6 St. Gilloise 11 3 6 2 +3 +4.1 15
7 Charleroi 10 4 2 4 +1 +2.3 14
8 Mechelen 12 4 2 6 +0 -2.1 14
9 Dender 11 3 5 3 -3 -4.6 14
10 Standard 10 4 2 4 -8 -5.8 14
11 St Truiden 14 3 4 7 -16 -4.2 13
12 Westerlo 11 3 3 5 +0 +1.3 12
13 Cercle Brugge 13 3 3 7 -13 -7.8 12
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 1 7 3 -3 +2.3 10
15 Kortrijk 14 3 1 10 -20 -10.7 10
16 Beerschot VA 12 1 4 7 -14 -12.6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Beerschot VA
7′
Marwan Al Sahafi 0–1
A. Colassin
25′
🟨 Faisal Al-Ghamdi
30′
🟨 Apostolos Konstantopoulos
41′
🔁 W. Cagro
↦ E. Henderson
Y. Verschaeren 🔁
↦ M. Stroeykens
45′
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Antoine Colassin
1–1 Y. Verschaeren
T. Foket
52′
56′
🟨 Nick Shinton
64′
🟨 Colin Dagba
67′
🔁 M. Weymans
↦ C. Dagba
68′
🔁 T. Reyners
↦ A. Colassin
L. Vázquez 🔁
↦ M. Rits
79′
L. Augustinsson 🔁
↦ M. NDiaye
79′
82′
🟨 Welat Cagro
83′
🔁 A. Martha
↦ Marwan Al Sahafi
83′
🔁 C. Keita
↦ T. Verlinden
Zanka 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Charly Keita
2–1 A. Dreyer
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
26 C. Coosemans G
25 T. Foket D
4 J. Šimić D
13 M. Jørgensen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
32 L. Dendoncker M
29 M. Stroeykens M
23 M. Rits M
36 A. Dreyer F
12 K. Dolberg F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (9)
10 Y. Verschaeren
20 L. Vázquez
6 L. Augustinsson
78 A. Tajaouart
71 N. Engwanda
17 T. Leoni
16 M. Kikkenborg
73 A. Lapage
19 N. Angulo

Coach: D. Hubert

Beerschot VA

4-4-2
33 N. Shinton G
66 A. Konstantopoulos D
5 L. Mbe Soh D
6 Omar Fayed D
4 B. Plat D
2 C. Dagba M
8 E. Henderson M
16 Faisal Al Ghamdi M
10 T. Verlinden M
17 Marwan Al Sahafi F
25 A. Colassin F
Bench (9)
47 W. Cagro
28 M. Weymans
7 T. Reyners
42 A. Martha
27 C. Keita
9 A. Kosiah
30 D. Huiberts
71 D. Matijaš
26 D. Tshimanga

Coach: D. Kuijt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,26
U
5,91
B
10,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.