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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Zaglebie
S T T U T
0–3
Full-time
Legia
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
47%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
35%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
41%
71%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

2,07 xG 2,42
64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 13. · Legia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 18 12 2 4 +19 +11.1 38
2 Rakow 18 10 6 2 +14 +10.4 36
3 Jagiellonia 18 10 5 3 +7 -1.1 35
4 Cracovia 18 9 4 5 +8 -0.6 31
5 Gornik Zabrze 18 9 3 6 +6 +4.4 30
6 Legia 17 8 5 4 +10 +8.6 29
7 Motor Lublin 18 8 4 6 -3 -1.6 28
8 Pogon Szczecin 17 8 2 7 +4 +6.6 26
9 Widzew Lodz 18 7 4 7 -1 -2.6 25
10 GKS Katowice 18 6 5 7 +2 +0.2 23
11 Piast Gliwice 18 5 7 6 +0 -2.6 22
12 Stal Mielec 18 5 4 9 -5 +5.3 19
13 Zaglebie 17 5 4 8 -8 -5.0 19
14 Puszcza 18 4 6 8 -9 -11.0 18
15 Radomiak Radom 17 5 2 10 -4 -1.5 17
16 Korona Kielce 17 4 5 8 -12 -2.4 17
17 Lechia Gdansk 18 3 5 10 -15 -16.1 14
18 Slask Wroclaw 17 1 7 9 -13 -2.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Legia
17′
Sergio Barcia 0–1
K. Chodyna
25′
ℹ️ Marc Gual
VAR: Penalty confirmed
26′
B. Kapustka 0–2
31′
R. Morishita 0–3
Luquinhas
45′
🟨 Sergio Barcia
Half-time 0–3
M. Dziewiatowski 🔁
↦ T. Makowski
46′
46′
🔁 J. Çelhaka
↦ R. Augustyniak
Igor Orlikowski 🟨
50′
62′
🔁 J. Ziółkowski
↦ Sergio Barcia
D. Mikołajewski 🔁
↦ T. Pieńko
65′
78′
🔁 M. Szczepaniak
↦ K. Chodyna
79′
🔁 M. Alfarela
↦ Marc Gual
83′
🟨 Patryk Kun
P. Kusztal 🔁
↦ B. Kłudka
85′
85′
🔁 Claude Gonçalves
↦ B. Kapustka
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Zaglebie

3-1-4-2
30 D. Hładun G
31 I. Orlikowski D
2 B. Kopacz D
5 A. Ławniczak D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
27 B. Kłudka M
7 M. Mróz M
6 T. Makowski M
17 M. Wdowiak M
90 D. Kurminowski F
21 T. Pieńko F
Bench (9)
20 M. Dziewiatowski
80 D. Mikołajewski
23 P. Kusztal
24 K. Kolanko
15 H. Adamczyk
1 J. Burić
26 J. Kolan
33 J. Jach
11 A. Woźniak

Coach: M. Włodarski

Legia

4-3-3
27 G. Kobylak G
13 P. Wszołek D
42 Sergio Barcia D
3 S. Kapuadi D
23 P. Kun D
67 B. Kapustka M
8 R. Augustyniak M
25 R. Morishita M
11 K. Chodyna F
28 Marc Gual F
82 Luquinhas F
Bench (9)
21 J. Çelhaka
24 J. Ziółkowski
71 M. Szczepaniak
17 M. Alfarela
5 Claude Gonçalves
19 Rúben Vinagre
99 J. Majchrzak
31 M. Mendes-Dudziński
7 T. Pekhart

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myć · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.