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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

St. Gallen

T S T S S

1–4

Full-time

Lugano

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 50%

58%

42%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

58%

79%

Both score Ø 61%

58%

63%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,10 xG 2,69

34% Possession 66%

8 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 2. · Lugano 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	20	12	5	3	+23	+0.6	41
2	St. Gallen	19	11	3	5	+13	+9.9	36
3	Servette	20	9	8	3	+9	+12.2	35
4	Zurich	19	8	8	3	+14	+1.0	32
5	Lugano	19	8	2	9	+1	+4.0	26
6	Winterthur	20	7	5	8	-5	-1.3	26
7	Luzern	19	7	4	8	-6	+0.0	25
8	Yverdon	20	6	6	8	-14	-9.2	24
9	Basel	20	6	4	10	-9	-5.8	22
10	Grasshoppers	19	6	3	10	+0	-6.2	21
11	Lausanne	19	5	5	9	-6	+1.4	20
12	Lausanne Ouchy	20	3	5	12	-20	-6.6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	9	9	0	0	+17	+5.7	27
2	Young Boys	10	8	2	0	+20	+3.7	26
3	Servette	10	5	4	1	+8	+6.1	19
4	Zurich	10	5	4	1	+7	+0.6	19
5	Luzern	9	6	1	2	+5	+4.1	19
6	Winterthur	10	5	3	2	+2	+1.7	18
7	Yverdon	10	5	3	2	-1	+0.1	18
8	Lugano	10	5	1	4	+2	+2.2	16
9	Lausanne	10	4	3	3	+3	+1.3	15
10	Grasshoppers	9	4	2	3	+7	-1.6	14
11	Basel	10	4	2	4	+1	-3.3	14
12	Lausanne Ouchy	10	1	4	5	-12	-1.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	10	4	4	2	+1	+6.1	16
2	Young Boys	10	4	3	3	+3	-3.1	15
3	Zurich	9	3	4	2	+7	+0.4	13
4	Lugano	9	3	1	5	-1	+1.8	10
5	St. Gallen	10	2	3	5	-4	+4.2	9
6	Winterthur	10	2	2	6	-7	-2.9	8
7	Basel	10	2	2	6	-10	-2.5	8
8	Grasshoppers	10	2	1	7	-7	-4.7	7
9	Lausanne Ouchy	10	2	1	7	-8	-5.2	7
10	Luzern	10	1	3	6	-11	-4.1	6
11	Yverdon	10	1	3	6	-13	-9.3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	2	6	-9	+0.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.