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Super League

Referee: N Gianforte

Lugano

U T S U S

3–3

Full-time

Young Boys

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Young Boys

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 55%

45%

64%

Points per game

1,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

73%

55%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,1

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 6. · Young Boys 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	22	14	5	3	+28	+1.2	47
2	Servette	22	11	8	3	+13	+13.4	41
3	Zurich	23	9	9	5	+11	+2.3	36
4	St. Gallen	22	11	3	8	+7	+7.6	36
5	Luzern	22	10	4	8	-1	+1.0	34
6	Lugano	22	10	3	9	+5	+5.5	33
7	Winterthur	22	8	5	9	-6	-1.3	29
8	Yverdon	22	7	6	9	-15	-9.7	27
9	Grasshoppers	23	7	4	12	-1	-7.2	25
10	Basel	22	7	4	11	-8	-5.6	25
11	Lausanne	23	5	7	11	-8	+2.7	22
12	Lausanne Ouchy	23	3	6	14	-25	-10.1	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	11	9	2	0	+24	+3.7	29
2	St. Gallen	11	9	0	2	+12	+3.6	27
3	Luzern	11	8	1	2	+7	+3.2	25
4	Zurich	12	6	5	1	+8	+1.0	23
5	Servette	11	6	4	1	+10	+6.9	22
6	Yverdon	11	6	3	2	+2	-0.3	21
7	Winterthur	11	5	3	3	+0	+1.7	18
8	Grasshoppers	11	5	2	4	+7	-1.9	17
9	Lugano	11	5	2	4	+2	+2.4	17
10	Lausanne	11	4	3	4	+2	+0.7	15
11	Basel	11	4	2	5	+0	-3.1	14
12	Lausanne Ouchy	12	1	5	6	-15	-4.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	11	5	4	2	+3	+6.6	19
2	Young Boys	11	5	3	3	+4	-2.5	18
3	Lugano	11	5	1	5	+3	+3.2	16
4	Zurich	11	3	4	4	+3	+1.2	13
5	Winterthur	11	3	2	6	-6	-2.9	11
6	Basel	11	3	2	6	-8	-2.5	11
7	St. Gallen	11	2	3	6	-5	+4.0	9
8	Luzern	11	2	3	6	-8	-2.3	9
9	Grasshoppers	12	2	2	8	-8	-5.3	8
10	Lausanne	12	1	4	7	-10	+2.1	7
11	Lausanne Ouchy	11	2	1	8	-10	-6.0	7
12	Yverdon	11	1	3	7	-17	-9.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.