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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Nordsjaelland

S U S S T

3–2

Full-time

Lyngby

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Lyngby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 35%

41%

29%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

41%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

41%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,92 xG 1,10

56% Possession 44%

24 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 5

11 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 5. · Lyngby 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	17	11	3	3	+14	+10.3	36
2	Brondby	17	10	4	3	+16	+4.5	34
3	FC Copenhagen	17	10	3	4	+13	+12.9	33
4	Aarhus	17	7	7	3	+4	+5.1	28
5	Nordsjaelland	17	7	6	4	+12	+7.4	27
6	Silkeborg	17	8	3	6	+7	+8.0	27
7	Odense	18	5	5	8	-3	-6.0	20
8	Lyngby	17	5	5	7	-6	-1.8	20
9	Viborg	18	5	4	9	-13	-6.2	19
10	Randers FC	17	3	7	7	-13	-2.6	16
11	Vejle	17	3	5	9	-5	-15.7	14
12	Hvidovre IF	17	1	4	12	-26	-15.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	9	6	2	1	+10	+5.9	20
2	Silkeborg	9	5	2	2	+7	+7.1	17
3	Brondby	8	5	1	2	+9	+6.6	16
4	FC Copenhagen	9	5	1	3	+7	+9.9	16
5	Nordsjaelland	8	4	3	1	+8	+5.1	15
6	Viborg	9	4	3	2	+1	-1.9	15
7	Aarhus	8	4	2	2	+0	+3.0	14
8	Lyngby	9	3	4	2	+3	+1.4	13
9	Randers FC	9	2	4	3	-6	+1.2	10
10	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-5.4	8
11	Odense	9	0	3	6	-9	-0.8	3
12	Hvidovre IF	8	0	1	7	-16	-4.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	9	5	3	1	+7	-2.1	18
2	FC Copenhagen	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.9	17
3	Odense	9	5	2	2	+6	-5.2	17
4	Midtjylland	8	5	1	2	+4	+4.4	16
5	Aarhus	9	3	5	1	+4	+2.1	14
6	Nordsjaelland	9	3	3	3	+4	+2.3	12
7	Silkeborg	8	3	1	4	+0	+0.9	10
8	Lyngby	8	2	1	5	-9	-3.2	7
9	Vejle	9	1	3	5	-4	-10.3	6
10	Randers FC	8	1	3	4	-7	-3.8	6
11	Hvidovre IF	9	1	3	5	-10	-11.5	6
12	Viborg	9	1	1	7	-14	-4.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.