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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Lugano

S T S T U

2–3

Full-time

Lausanne Ouchy

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Lausanne Ouchy

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 28%

44%

11%

Points per game

1,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

78%

67%

Both score Ø 64%

61%

67%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,7

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

2,74 xG 1,55

62% Possession 38%

17 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 2

11 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lugano 5. · Lausanne Ouchy 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	19	12	5	2	+24	+1.6	41
2	St. Gallen	19	11	3	5	+13	+9.9	36
3	Zurich	18	8	7	3	+14	+1.0	31
4	Servette	18	8	7	3	+8	+10.2	31
5	Lugano	18	8	2	8	+2	+2.8	26
6	Luzern	18	7	4	7	-5	+0.0	25
7	Winterthur	18	6	4	8	-7	-2.1	22
8	Grasshoppers	19	6	3	10	+0	-6.2	21
9	Yverdon	18	5	6	7	-14	-7.3	21
10	Lausanne	19	5	5	9	-6	+1.4	20
11	Basel	18	5	3	10	-10	-6.7	18
12	Lausanne Ouchy	18	2	5	11	-19	-4.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	9	9	0	0	+17	+5.7	27
2	Young Boys	10	8	2	0	+20	+3.7	26
3	Luzern	9	6	1	2	+5	+4.1	19
4	Zurich	9	5	3	1	+7	+0.5	18
5	Winterthur	9	5	2	2	+2	+1.7	17
6	Servette	9	4	4	1	+7	+4.2	16
7	Lugano	9	5	1	3	+3	+1.1	16
8	Lausanne	10	4	3	3	+3	+1.3	15
9	Yverdon	9	4	3	2	-2	+0.1	15
10	Grasshoppers	9	4	2	3	+7	-1.6	14
11	Basel	9	3	2	4	+0	-4.3	11
12	Lausanne Ouchy	9	1	4	4	-10	-0.5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	9	4	3	2	+4	-2.1	15
2	Servette	9	4	3	2	+1	+6.1	15
3	Zurich	9	3	4	2	+7	+0.4	13
4	Lugano	9	3	1	5	-1	+1.8	10
5	St. Gallen	10	2	3	5	-4	+4.2	9
6	Grasshoppers	10	2	1	7	-7	-4.7	7
7	Basel	9	2	1	6	-10	-2.4	7
8	Luzern	9	1	3	5	-10	-4.1	6
9	Yverdon	9	1	3	5	-12	-7.4	6
10	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-9	-3.8	5
11	Lausanne	9	1	2	6	-9	+0.1	5
12	Lausanne Ouchy	9	1	1	7	-9	-4.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.