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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şimşek

Alanyaspor

S U U T U

3–3

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 26%

24%

28%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

52%

56%

Both score Ø 58%

56%

60%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,12 xG 1,81

47% Possession 53%

7 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alanyaspor 16. · Ad. Demirspor 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	26	21	4	1	+47	+46.2	67
2	Galatasaray	25	21	3	1	+38	+32.9	66
3	Trabzonspor	25	12	4	9	+7	-0.5	40
4	Besiktas	25	12	4	9	+4	+8.1	40
5	Kasimpasa	26	11	6	9	-1	-7.8	39
6	Rizespor	26	10	6	10	-9	-5.0	36
7	Antalyaspor	26	8	11	7	+2	+2.0	35
8	Sivasspor	26	8	10	8	-6	-6.0	34
9	Buyuksehyr	25	9	6	10	+1	-1.8	33
10	Kayserispor	25	8	8	9	-5	-6.3	32
11	Ad. Demirspor	25	7	10	8	+4	-1.5	31
12	Ankaragücü	25	6	11	8	+1	-3.0	29
13	Hatayspor	26	6	11	9	-3	-1.1	29
14	Samsunspor	25	8	5	12	-6	+2.1	29
15	Karagumruk	26	7	7	12	+1	-8.2	28
16	Alanyaspor	25	6	10	9	-8	+0.8	28
17	Gaziantep	25	7	6	12	-7	-9.6	27
18	Pendikspor	25	6	8	11	-18	-9.2	26
19	Konyaspor	25	5	10	10	-13	-12.5	25
20	İstanbulspor	26	3	6	17	-29	-19.7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	13	0	0	+23	+23.5	39
2	Fenerbahce	13	9	3	1	+23	+24.8	30
3	Rizespor	14	8	3	3	+5	+4.0	27
4	Ad. Demirspor	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
5	Besiktas	12	7	2	3	+7	+5.2	23
6	Samsunspor	13	7	2	4	+5	+3.6	23
7	Karagumruk	13	6	4	3	+12	-0.1	22
8	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+3	+1.9	22
9	Antalyaspor	14	5	7	2	+2	+0.6	22
10	Kasimpasa	13	6	3	4	+0	-4.2	21
11	Buyuksehyr	12	6	2	4	+6	-0.5	20
12	Kayserispor	13	5	5	3	+4	+2.2	20
13	Hatayspor	13	4	7	2	+4	-0.3	19
14	Ankaragücü	13	4	6	3	+3	+3.4	18
15	Alanyaspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+4.1	17
16	Sivasspor	12	3	7	2	+0	+1.3	16
17	Konyaspor	12	4	3	5	+1	-0.5	15
18	Pendikspor	12	4	3	5	-6	-6.1	15
19	Gaziantep	12	3	4	5	-4	-5.9	13
20	İstanbulspor	13	2	3	8	-14	-11.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	13	12	1	0	+24	+21.4	37
2	Galatasaray	12	8	3	1	+15	+9.4	27
3	Trabzonspor	13	5	3	5	+4	-2.4	18
4	Kasimpasa	13	5	3	5	-1	-3.6	18
5	Sivasspor	14	5	3	6	-6	-7.3	18
6	Besiktas	13	5	2	6	-3	+2.9	17
7	Gaziantep	13	4	2	7	-3	-3.7	14
8	Antalyaspor	12	3	4	5	+0	+1.4	13
9	Buyuksehyr	13	3	4	6	-5	-1.3	13
10	Kayserispor	12	3	3	6	-9	-8.5	12
11	Ankaragücü	12	2	5	5	-2	-6.4	11
12	Alanyaspor	13	2	5	6	-9	-3.2	11
13	Pendikspor	13	2	5	6	-12	-3.1	11
14	Hatayspor	13	2	4	7	-7	-0.8	10
15	Konyaspor	13	1	7	5	-14	-12.0	10
16	Rizespor	12	2	3	7	-14	-8.9	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	12	0	7	5	-7	-6.4	7
18	Samsunspor	12	1	3	8	-11	-1.5	6
19	Karagumruk	13	1	3	9	-11	-8.1	6
20	İstanbulspor	13	1	3	9	-15	-8.6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.