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Svenska Cupen
Referee: J Svraka
Sirius
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Utsikten
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Utsikten
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
6,0
2,0
Scored
6,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+6,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 17. · Utsikten 29.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Degerfors 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Brommapojkarna 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 United Nordic 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 Halmstad 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 AIK 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Vasteras SK 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Elfsborg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Goteborg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Kalmar 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Varnamo 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Mjallby 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 IFK Luleå 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
16 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +10 3
17 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +6 3
18 Norrkoping 1 1 0 0 +6 3
19 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
20 Skövde AIK 1 1 0 0 +5 3
21 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +4 3
22 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +4 3
23 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Helsingborg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Jönköpings BK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Karlshamn 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Utsikten 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Sundsvall 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Landskrona 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Hammarby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Varberg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Tyresö W 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Trelleborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Jonsered 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Orebro SK 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 GAIS 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Gefle IF 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Oster 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Ostersunds FK 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Zenith 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Lund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Orgryte 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Lucksta 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 IK brage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
65 Franke 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
67 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Jonkopings Sodra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sirius Utsikten
8′
🟨 A. Faltsetas
1–0 M. Heier
14′
2–0 J. Persson
36′
M. Martin 🟨
37′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 E. Westermark
↦ A. Faltsetas
46′
🔁 Suleman Zurmati
↦ J. Brandt
49′
🟨 D. Hermansson
H. Sjögrell 🔁
↦ Ó. Ómarsson
62′
J. Voelkerling Persson 🔁
↦ A. Ljungberg
62′
66′
🟨 S. Lagerlund
J. Persson 🟨
70′
83′
🔁 L. Mehmeti
↦ M. Moënza
89′
🔁 K. Rodeblad
↦ Allan Mohideen
H. Andersson Mella 🔁
↦ M. Martin
90′
91′
🟨 K. Lowe
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sirius

J. Tånnander
D. Widgren
H. Castegren
Ó. Ómarsson
T. Carlsson
M. Martin
M. Heier
A. Wikman
A. Ljungberg
M. Lindberg
J. Persson
Bench (9)
H. Sjögrell
J. Voelkerling Persson
H. Andersson Mella
A. Murbeck
E. Özkan
H. Sveijer
M. Jeng
T. Olsson
J. Brådenmark

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Utsikten

E. Hadaya
M. Moënza
Allan Mohideen
J. Brandt
D. Hermansson
S. Lagerlund
A. Faltsetas
P. Ranđelović
R. Book
A. Skoglund
L. Lima
Bench (9)
E. Westermark
Suleman Zurmati
L. Mehmeti
K. Rodeblad
I. Pękalski
M. Gorgos
M. Österberg
O. Gustafsson
R. Mukiibi

Coach: B. Orović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.