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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Nurnberg
T S T U U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
67%
86%
Both score Ø 72%
62%
81%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
7 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 9
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 11. · Kaiserslautern 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 21 11 9 1 +19 42
2 Holstein Kiel 22 13 3 6 +13 42
3 Hamburg 22 11 5 6 +12 38
4 Hannover 22 10 7 5 +13 37
5 Greuther Furth 22 10 5 7 +6 35
6 Paderborn 22 10 4 8 -3 34
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 9 6 7 +14 33
8 Hertha 22 9 5 8 +6 32
9 Karlsruhe 22 7 8 7 +0 29
10 Elversberg 21 8 5 8 -3 29
11 Nurnberg 21 8 5 8 -9 29
12 Magdeburg 22 7 6 9 +2 27
13 Wehen 22 7 6 9 -3 27
14 Schalke 04 22 8 2 12 -8 26
15 Braunschweig 21 7 2 12 -12 23
16 Hansa Rostock 22 6 4 12 -14 22
17 Kaiserslautern 21 6 3 12 -9 21
18 Osnabruck 21 1 9 11 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Kaiserslautern
34′
R. Tachie 0–1
K. Redondo
Can Uzun 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
F. Jeltsch 🔁
↦ A. Gürleyen
46′
J. Hofmann 🔁
↦ K. Okunuki
46′
Finn Jeltsch 🟨
49′
Erik Wekesser 🟨
52′
57′
🟨 Filip Kaloč
Florian Flick 🟨
61′
L. Schleimer 🔁
↦ J. Castrop
62′
1–1 C. Uzun
S. Andersson
64′
65′
🔁 J. Niehues
↦ F. Kaloč
69′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ K. Redondo
75′
🟨 Dickson Abiama
Jan Gyamerah 🟨
84′
84′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ R. Tachie
85′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ M. Ritter
J. Hungbo 🔁
↦ C. Uzun
88′
J. Kania 🔁
↦ S. Andersson
92′
95′
🟨 Tymoteusz Puchacz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-1-4-1
1 C. Klaus G
28 J. Gyamerah D
3 A. Gürleyen D
38 J. Horn D
27 N. Brown D
6 F. Flick M
13 E. Wekesser M
17 J. Castrop M
42 C. Uzun M
11 K. Okunuki M
20 S. Andersson F
Bench (8)
44 F. Jeltsch
43 J. Hofmann
36 L. Schleimer
23 J. Hungbo
46 J. Kania
26 C. Mathenia
5 J. Geis
22 E. Valentini

Coach: C. Fiél

Kaiserslautern

4-3-3
18 J. Krahl G
8 J. Zimmer D
5 K. Kraus D
33 J. Elvedi D
15 T. Puchacz D
2 B. Tomiak M
7 M. Ritter M
26 F. Kaloč M
29 R. Tachie F
9 R. Ache F
11 K. Redondo F
Bench (9)
16 J. Niehues
40 D. Abiama
10 P. Klement
17 A. Opoku
31 B. Zolinski
25 F. Stojilković
32 R. Himmelmann
6 A. Touré
20 T. Raschl

Coach: F. Funkel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U ✓
3,65
B
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.