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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
Sturm Graz
U S T U S
1–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 50%
61%
39%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
44%
39%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
39%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · SK Rapid 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 19 12 5 2 +24 41
2 Sturm Graz 18 11 5 2 +16 38
3 LASK 19 9 7 3 +10 34
4 Hartberg 19 8 6 5 +5 30
5 A. Klagenfurt 19 7 9 3 +1 30
6 SK Rapid 18 7 6 5 +14 27
7 Austria Vienna 19 7 6 6 +3 27
8 Wolfsberger AC 19 7 5 7 +0 26
9 BW Linz 19 4 7 8 -11 19
10 Altach 19 4 5 10 -12 17
11 Tirol 19 3 2 14 -19 11
12 A. Lustenau 19 1 3 15 -31 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Sep -23 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–1 28. May -23 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 3–2 2. Apr -23 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 3–1 10. Feb -23 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–0 28. Aug -22 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–2

Match report

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
1–0 D. Lavalée ⚽
T. Horvat
6′
41′
⚽ C. Lang 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Dimitri Lavalėe 🟨
55′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
63′
Mika Biereth 🟨
64′
D. Schnegg 🔁
↦ G. Wüthrich
72′
S. Włodarczyk 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
72′
A. Camara 🔁
↦ W. Bøving
72′
72′
🔁 G. Burgstaller
↦ F. Mayulu
73′
🔁 M. Oswald
↦ L. Grgić
80′
🟨 Matthias Seidl
N. Geyrhofer 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
80′
83′
🟨 Christoph Lang
84′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ C. Lang
87′
🟨 Maximilian Hofmann
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
18 M. Biereth F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (7)
2 M. Johnston
28 D. Schnegg
9 S. Włodarczyk
36 A. Camara
35 N. Geyrhofer
31 L. Marić
25 S. Hierländer

Coach: C. Ilzer

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
6 N. Kasanwirjo D
20 M. Hofmann D
15 T. Kongolo D
23 J. Auer D
34 N. Sattlberger M
8 L. Grgić M
10 C. Lang M
18 M. Seidl M
27 M. Grüll M
17 F. Mayulu F
Bench (7)
9 G. Burgstaller
28 M. Oswald
22 I. Jansson
49 J. Živković
5 R. Kerschbaum
21 B. Unger
19 M. Sollbauer

Coach: R. Klauß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.