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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Granada

T T T U U

1–1

Full-time

Almeria

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 4%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

42%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

54%

63%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

2,0

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,99 xG 1,41

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Granada 19. · Almeria 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	25	19	5	1	+37	+23.3	62
2	Girona	24	17	5	2	+23	+6.7	56
3	Barcelona	25	16	6	3	+18	+28.6	54
4	Ath Madrid	25	16	3	6	+24	+16.0	51
5	Ath Bilbao	24	13	7	4	+21	+17.0	46
6	Betis	24	9	11	4	+3	-2.5	38
7	Sociedad	24	9	10	5	+10	+3.0	37
8	Valencia	25	10	6	9	+0	-1.6	36
9	Las Palmas	25	10	5	10	+0	-15.7	35
10	Getafe	25	8	10	7	-1	-5.4	34
11	Osasuna	25	9	5	11	-7	-4.3	32
12	Alaves	24	7	6	11	-7	+3.5	27
13	Villarreal	25	6	8	11	-12	-4.8	26
14	Vallecano	25	5	10	10	-11	-2.1	25
15	Sevilla	25	5	9	11	-7	-11.8	24
16	Mallorca	24	4	11	9	-10	-5.5	23
17	Celta	25	4	8	13	-10	-4.8	20
18	Cadiz	25	2	11	12	-20	-16.8	17
19	Granada	24	2	7	15	-22	-13.8	13
20	Almeria	24	0	7	17	-29	-9.0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	12	1	0	+20	+15.9	37
2	Real Madrid	12	10	2	0	+23	+18.4	32
3	Ath Bilbao	12	9	2	1	+19	+16.0	29
4	Girona	12	9	2	1	+16	+6.0	29
5	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+9	+14.0	28
6	Valencia	12	7	3	2	+9	+4.7	24
7	Getafe	12	7	3	2	+4	-0.9	24
8	Betis	12	6	5	1	+7	+6.0	23
9	Las Palmas	12	6	3	3	+7	-4.8	21
10	Sociedad	12	5	5	2	+6	+2.0	20
11	Osasuna	13	5	3	5	-3	+1.4	18
12	Alaves	12	5	2	5	-2	+7.4	17
13	Mallorca	12	3	7	2	+1	-0.1	16
14	Sevilla	13	3	5	5	-2	-3.5	14
15	Villarreal	13	3	4	6	-4	+3.3	13
16	Cadiz	12	2	6	4	-6	+1.3	12
17	Granada	12	2	5	5	-6	-3.8	11
18	Celta	13	2	4	7	-8	+3.3	10
19	Vallecano	12	1	6	5	-10	-2.1	9
20	Almeria	12	0	6	6	-11	+1.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	9	3	1	+14	+4.9	30
2	Girona	12	8	3	1	+7	+0.7	27
3	Barcelona	12	7	5	0	+9	+14.6	26
4	Sociedad	12	4	5	3	+4	+1.0	17
5	Ath Bilbao	12	4	5	3	+2	+1.0	17
6	Vallecano	13	4	4	5	-1	+0.0	16
7	Betis	12	3	6	3	-4	-8.5	15
8	Ath Madrid	12	4	2	6	+4	+0.1	14
9	Osasuna	12	4	2	6	-4	-5.7	14
10	Las Palmas	13	4	2	7	-7	-11.0	14
11	Villarreal	12	3	4	5	-8	-8.1	13
12	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-9	-6.3	12
13	Celta	12	2	4	6	-2	-8.1	10
14	Getafe	13	1	7	5	-5	-4.5	10
15	Sevilla	12	2	4	6	-5	-8.3	10
16	Alaves	12	2	4	6	-5	-3.9	10
17	Mallorca	12	1	4	7	-11	-5.4	7
18	Cadiz	13	0	5	8	-14	-18.1	5
19	Granada	12	0	2	10	-16	-10.0	2
20	Almeria	12	0	1	11	-18	-10.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.