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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
St Pauli
S S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Braunschweig
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Braunschweig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
52%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 58%
67%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 1. · Braunschweig 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 21 11 9 1 +19 42
2 Holstein Kiel 22 13 3 6 +13 42
3 Hamburg 22 11 5 6 +12 38
4 Hannover 22 10 7 5 +13 37
5 Greuther Furth 22 10 5 7 +6 35
6 Paderborn 22 10 4 8 -3 34
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 9 6 7 +14 33
8 Hertha 22 9 5 8 +6 32
9 Karlsruhe 22 7 8 7 +0 29
10 Elversberg 21 8 5 8 -3 29
11 Nurnberg 21 8 5 8 -9 29
12 Magdeburg 22 7 6 9 +2 27
13 Wehen 22 7 6 9 -3 27
14 Schalke 04 22 8 2 12 -8 26
15 Braunschweig 21 7 2 12 -12 23
16 Hansa Rostock 22 6 4 12 -14 22
17 Kaiserslautern 21 6 3 12 -9 21
18 Osnabruck 21 1 9 11 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Pauli Braunschweig
1–0 O. Afolayan
32′
Elias Saad 🟨
39′
40′
🟨 Niklas Tauer
Half-time 1–0
Jackson Irvine 🟨
49′
Elias Saad 🟨
67′
Elias Saad 🟥
67′
C. Metcalfe 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
69′
69′
🔁 F. Krüger
↦ J. Gómez
69′
🔁 S. Sané
↦ R. Philippe
73′
🔁 H. Finndell
↦ N. Tauer
79′
🔁 Anderson Lucoqui
↦ A. Donkor
79′
🔁 A. Ujah
↦ R. Ivanov
80′
🟨 Anthony Ujah
A. Kemlein 🔁
↦ O. Afolayan
83′
L. Ritzka 🔁
↦ M. Saliakas
83′
C. Boukhalfa 🔁
↦ M. Hartel
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Pauli

4-1-4-1
22 N. Vasilj G
2 M. Saliakas D
5 H. Wahl D
3 K. Mets D
23 P. Treu D
8 E. Smith M
17 O. Afolayan M
7 J. Irvine M
10 M. Hartel M
26 E. Saad M
11 J. Eggestein F
Bench (9)
24 C. Metcalfe
36 A. Kemlein
21 L. Ritzka
16 C. Boukhalfa
19 A. Albers
4 D. Nemeth
15 D. Sinani
25 A. Dźwigała
30 S. Burchert

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Braunschweig

3-5-2
13 T. Casali G
5 R. Ivanov D
6 E. Bičakčić D
29 H. Kuruçay D
18 M. Rittmüller M
37 F. Kaufmann M
8 N. Tauer M
20 Þ. Helgason M
19 A. Donkor M
44 J. Gómez F
9 R. Philippe F
Bench (9)
10 F. Krüger
24 S. Sané
12 H. Finndell
15 Anderson Lucoqui
14 A. Ujah
34 J. Duda
3 S. Decarli
4 J. Nikolaou
33 S. Griesbeck

Coach: D. Scherning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
U
4,76
B
8,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.