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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Amiens
U S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Pau FC
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
24%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
38%
32%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 10. · Pau FC 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 25 14 10 1 +24 52
2 Bordeaux 26 13 7 6 +15 46
3 Sochaux 25 13 5 7 +20 44
4 Metz 25 11 8 6 +13 41
5 Caen 25 10 9 6 +5 39
6 Quevilly Rouen 25 10 8 7 +4 38
7 Grenoble 25 10 8 7 +4 38
8 Bastia 25 11 5 9 -1 38
9 St Etienne 26 9 7 10 -2 34
10 Amiens 24 9 6 9 -1 33
11 Annecy 25 8 8 9 +0 32
12 Paris FC 24 8 7 9 -3 31
13 Guingamp 25 8 7 10 -4 31
14 Valenciennes 25 7 10 8 -5 31
15 Laval 25 9 4 12 -7 31
16 Pau FC 25 6 9 10 -10 27
17 Dijon 25 5 8 12 -8 23
18 Nimes 25 6 5 14 -14 23
19 Niort 25 6 5 14 -18 23
20 Rodez 25 4 10 11 -12 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Pau FC
1–0 A. Léautey
G. Kakuta
6′
31′
🔁 S. D'Almeida
↦ N. Sow
Half-time 1–0
S. Ring 🔁
↦ K. Ouattara
46′
Y. Assogba 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
60′
70′
🔁 C. Boli
↦ E. Sylvestre
70′
🔁 Q. Boisgard
↦ M. Bassouamina
78′
🟨 Sessi D'Almeida
80′
🔁 J. Nišić
↦ Y. Begraoui
80′
🔁 M. Yattara
↦ S. Beusnard
A. Barry 🔁
↦ Mamadou Fofana II
83′
89′
🟨 Jovan Nišić
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ P. Cissé
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Amiens

4-1-4-1
1 R. Gurtner G
5 F. Mendy D
4 N. Opoku D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
44 K. Ouattara D
25 O. Gene M
17 I. Gomis M
96 G. Kakuta M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
7 A. Léautey M
18 P. Cissé F
Bench (7)
3 S. Ring
15 Y. Assogba
23 A. Barry
46 G. Ilenikhena
10 A. Chibozo
11 H. Bandé
16 P. Charruau

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Pau FC

3-4-3
1 J. Prior G
5 N. Sow D
4 X. Kouassi D
25 J. Ruiz D
7 E. Koffi M
21 S. Beusnard M
20 H. Saivet M
26 J. Evan's M
11 M. Bassouamina F
14 Y. Begraoui F
12 E. Sylvestre F
Bench (7)
6 S. D'Almeida
23 C. Boli
27 Q. Boisgard
10 J. Nišić
18 M. Yattara
16 M. Ndiaye
28 N. Monzango

Coach: D. Tholot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,47
B
4,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.