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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Kampka
Regensburg
T T T U T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
23%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 46%
32%
59%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
5 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 17. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 22 14 7 1 +20 49
2 Hamburg 22 14 3 5 +15 45
3 Heidenheim 22 12 7 3 +19 43
4 Paderborn 23 12 3 8 +18 39
5 Kaiserslautern 23 10 8 5 +7 38
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 11 2 9 +7 35
7 St Pauli 23 9 8 6 +5 35
8 Holstein Kiel 22 8 8 6 +2 32
9 Hannover 22 8 5 9 +1 29
10 Karlsruhe 22 8 4 10 +0 28
11 Magdeburg 23 8 3 12 -11 27
12 Greuther Furth 22 6 8 8 -6 26
13 Nurnberg 22 7 4 11 -14 25
14 Hansa Rostock 22 7 3 12 -11 24
15 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 -12 21
16 Bielefeld 22 6 2 14 -7 20
17 Regensburg 22 5 5 12 -16 20
18 Sandhausen 22 5 4 13 -17 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Half-time 0–0
Aygün Yıldırım 🟨
47′
55′
🟨 Marcel Sobottka
64′
🔁 D. Ginczek
↦ K. Peterson
64′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ E. Iyoha
K. Caliskaner 🔁
↦ B. Idrizi
70′
K. Faber 🔁
↦ B. Saller
70′
P. Owusu 🔁
↦ M. Gouras
70′
L. Günther 🔁
↦ A. Yildirim
71′
Kaan Caliskaner 🟨
74′
83′
🔁 F. Klaus
↦ S. Appelkamp
86′
D. Kownacki 0–1
J. Mees 🔁
↦ S. Breitkreuz
90′
90′
🔁 J. de Wijs
↦ D. Kownacki
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Regensburg

4-2-2-2
40 J. Urbig G
6 B. Saller D
23 S. Breitkreuz D
33 J. Elvedi D
20 L. Guwara D
5 B. Gimber M
14 B. Idrizi M
15 S. Singh M
22 M. Gouras M
18 A. Yildirim F
19 A. Albers F
Bench (9)
10 K. Caliskaner
11 K. Faber
9 P. Owusu
27 L. Günther
29 J. Mees
24 S. Kennedy
21 T. Kirschbaum
28 S. Nachreiner
30 C. Viet

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-2-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
5 C. Klarer D
8 M. Karbownik D
29 J. Hendrix M
31 M. Sobottka M
7 K. Peterson M
23 S. Appelkamp M
19 E. Iyoha F
9 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
10 D. Ginczek
39 J. Niemiec
11 F. Klaus
30 J. de Wijs
4 A. Tanaka
28 R. Hennings
22 B. Böckle
46 Elione Neto
21 D. Gorka

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,31
U
3,38
B ✓
2,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Kampka · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.