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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Mallorca
T S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Elche
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
39%
4%
Points per game
1,3
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
22%
61%
Both score Ø 44%
35%
52%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,85 xG 0,93
56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 10. · Elche 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 23 19 2 2 +37 +4.8 59
2 Real Madrid 23 16 4 3 +29 +9.3 52
3 Sociedad 24 13 5 6 +9 +1.3 44
4 Ath Madrid 23 12 6 5 +14 +2.8 42
5 Betis 23 12 4 7 +7 +5.0 40
6 Villarreal 24 11 4 9 +5 +1.7 37
7 Vallecano 23 9 7 7 +4 +0.8 34
8 Osasuna 23 9 6 8 -1 -5.6 33
9 Ath Bilbao 23 9 5 9 +7 -0.5 32
10 Mallorca 23 9 4 10 -3 -3.7 31
11 Girona 24 8 6 10 +0 -1.3 30
12 Espanol 23 6 9 8 -5 +0.7 27
13 Celta 23 7 6 10 -8 +0.4 27
14 Cadiz 24 6 8 10 -17 -1.1 26
15 Sevilla 23 6 7 10 -7 +3.7 25
16 Getafe 24 6 7 11 -9 -1.4 25
17 Almeria 24 7 4 13 -14 -2.2 25
18 Valladolid 23 7 3 13 -17 -5.0 24
19 Valencia 23 6 5 12 +0 -3.0 23
20 Elche 23 1 6 16 -31 -6.6 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Elche
Jaume Costa 🟨
-5′
11′
🟨 Randy Nteka
39′
🟨 José Ángel Carmona
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Tete Morente
↦ José Ángel Carmona
Antonio Raíllo 🟨
49′
Abdón Prats 🔁
↦ T. Kadewere
59′
60′
🔁 E. Ponce
↦ R. Nteka
José Copete 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Lucas Boyé
67′
🔁 Raúl Guti
↦ Fidel
74′
🔁 Diego González
↦ Gonzalo Verdú
Vedat Muriqi 🟨
77′
L. Augustinsson 🔁
↦ Jaume Costa
83′
A. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ Dani Rodríguez
83′
Antonio Sánchez 🔁
↦ Lee Kang-In
85′
88′
L. Boyé 0–1
Gumbau
Vedat Muriqi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
98′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mallorca

5-3-2
1 P. Rajković G
15 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
6 Copete D
18 Jaume Costa D
14 Dani Rodríguez M
4 Ruíz de Galarreta M
19 Lee Kang-In M
17 T. Kadewere F
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
9 Abdón Prats
3 L. Augustinsson
23 A. Ndiaye
10 Antonio Sánchez
20 G. González
13 D. Greif
12 I. Baba
16 R. Battaglia
11 Manu Morlanes
8 C. Grenier
22 Ángel
2 M. Nastasić

Coach: J. Aguirre

Elche

3-1-4-2
13 Edgar Badia G
14 H. Palacios D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
6 Bigas D
21 Omar Mascarell M
40 José Ángel Carmona M
16 Fidel M
20 Gumbau M
23 Clerc M
18 R. Nteka F
9 L. Boyé F
Bench (10)
11 Tete Morente
19 E. Ponce
8 Raúl Guti
4 Diego González
2 L. Blanco
28 Jesús López
17 Josan
1 A. Werner
22 N. Fernández Mercau
24 Pol Lirola

Coach: Pablo Machín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
U
3,39
B ✓
6,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,69
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.