Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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RB Leipzig
M'gladbach
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | +35 | 42 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | +28 | 40 |
| 3 |
Dortmund
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | +28 | 39 |
| 4 |
M'gladbach
|
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | +15 | 38 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | +7 | 34 |
| 6 |
Schalke 04
|
20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | +5 | 34 |
| 7 |
Hoffenheim
|
20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | +0 | 33 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 29 |
| 9 |
Augsburg
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 25 |
| 11 |
Wolfsburg
|
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 |
Hertha
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 |
FC Koln
|
19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | -15 | 20 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | -19 | 18 |
| 16 |
Werder Bremen
|
20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -21 | 17 |
| 17 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -22 | 16 |
| 18 |
Paderborn
|
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -17 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. Gulácsi
G
L. Klostermann
D
N. Mukiele
D
D. Upamecano
D
M. Sabitzer
M
K. Laimer
M
C. Nkunku
M
T. Adams
M
Coach: J. Nagelsmann
Y. Sommer
G
S. Lainer
M
M. Ginter
D
N. Elvedi
D
J. Hofmann
F
F. Neuhaus
M
D. Zakaria
D
A. Pléa
F
M. Thuram
F
Coach: M. Rose
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ein Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Augsburg
Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Fortuna Dusseldorf
RB Leipzig
T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.