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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
St. Gallen
U U S S S
2–2
Full-time
Basel
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,7
This season — Super League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 43%
39%
46%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
68%
57%
Both score Ø 68%
68%
68%
Average goals
3,6
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 6. · Basel 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 29 19 6 4 +26 63
2 Basel 28 13 12 3 +27 51
3 Young Boys 29 12 11 6 +24 47
4 Lugano 28 14 4 10 +2 46
5 Servette 29 12 5 12 -7 41
6 St. Gallen 28 11 7 10 +2 40
7 Sion 28 8 6 14 -18 30
8 Grasshoppers 29 6 11 12 -4 29
9 Luzern 29 4 12 13 -20 24
10 Lausanne 29 3 8 18 -32 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Basel
1–0 K. Duah
L. Görtler
20′
29′
L. Stergiou 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
B. Toma 🔁
↦ K. Duah
46′
Matej Maglica 🟨
49′
Euclides Cabral 🟨
60′
60′
🟨 Taulant Xhaka
61′
🟨 Valentin Stocker
61′
🔁 D. Males
↦ V. Stocker
3–0 J. Guillemenot
L. Görtler
65′
67′
L. Millar 3–1
W. Burger
70′
🟨 Michael Lang
74′
🔁 F. Chalov
↦ S.Esposito
75′
🔁 S. Pavlović
↦ N. Djiga
Victor Ruiz 🟨
76′
F. Schubert 🔁
↦ J. Guillemenot
76′
B. Fazliji 🔁
↦ Euclides Cabral
76′
A. Besio 🔁
↦ J. von Moos
86′
93′
🔁 N. Katterbach
↦ L. Millar
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-3
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
4 L. Stergiou D
15 Euclides Cabral D
14 M. Maglica D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
16 L. Görtler M
11 K. Duah F
33 I. Schmidt D
10 Víctor Ruiz M
9 J. Guillemenot F
19 J. von Moos F
Bench (9)
72 B. Toma
7 F. Schubert
23 B. Fazliji
31 A. Besio
30 P. Sutter
25 L. Watkowiak
28 C. Lungoyi
45 A. Jankewitz
6 B. Stillhart

Coach: P. Zeidler

Basel

4-4-2
1 H. Lindner G
5 M. Lang D
30 Tomás Tavares D
6 N. Djiga D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei D
34 T. Xhaka M
23 W. Burger M
17 L. Millar M
27 D. Ndoye F
9 S.Esposito F
Bench (9)
19 D. Males
99 F. Chalov
15 S. Pavlović
3 N. Katterbach
35 M. Palacios
46 F. Gebhardt
40 L. Chipperfield
22 Sergio López
96 Joelson Fernandes

Coach: Guillermo Abascal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.