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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Luzern
S U S T U
1–0
Full-time
Grasshoppers
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 18%
12%
24%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
48%
56%
Both score Ø 72%
72%
72%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Grasshoppers 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 26 18 5 3 +26 59
2 Young Boys 26 12 9 5 +25 45
3 Basel 25 11 11 3 +23 44
4 Lugano 26 13 3 10 +0 42
5 Servette 25 10 5 10 -4 35
6 St. Gallen 26 9 7 10 -2 34
7 Sion 26 8 6 12 -14 30
8 Grasshoppers 25 6 9 10 -1 27
9 Luzern 25 3 10 12 -20 19
10 Lausanne 26 2 7 17 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Grasshoppers
1′
🟨 Hayao Kawabe
0–1 Léo Bonatini
own goal
2′
N. Čumić 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
26′
Marvin Schulz 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
C. Gentner 🔁
↦ M. Schulz
46′
52′
🔁 A. Arigoni
↦ B. Bolla
60′
🔁 E. Lenjani
↦ Léo Bonatini
61′
🔁 F. Momoh
↦ Bruno Jordão
71′
🟨 Allan Arigoni
75′
🔁 Jeong Sang-Bin
↦ H. Kawabe
75′
🔁 Nuno da Silva
↦ K. Sène
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ S. Campo
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
5 D. Simani D
13 M. Frýdek D
2 M. Dräger D
46 M. Burch D
15 M. Schulz M
10 S. Campo M
19 F. Ugrinic M
30 A. Jashari M
27 M. Kvasina F
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
20 N. Čumić
4 C. Gentner
7 I. Ndiaye
16 V. Tasar
90 V. Vasić
6 J. Wehrmann
17 S. Grether
34 S. Sidler
31 L. Emini

Coach: M. Frick

Grasshoppers

4-3-1-2
1 André Moreira G
33 G. Margreitter D
31 D. Schmid D
15 A. Seko D
77 B. Bolla D
6 A. Abrashi M
40 H. Kawabe M
28 C. Herc M
20 Bruno Jordão M
11 Léo Bonatini F
17 K. Sène F
Bench (9)
34 A. Arigoni
3 E. Lenjani
59 F. Momoh
29 Jeong Sang-Bin
7 Nuno da Silva
14 Tomás Ribeiro
41 N. Loosli
4 Li Lei
27 M. Matic

Coach: G. Contini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.