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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Luzern
T T S U S
0–2
Full-time
Zurich
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 42%
13%
70%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
48%
74%
Both score Ø 70%
74%
65%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,1
2,4
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 24
1 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Zurich 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 23 16 5 2 +25 53
2 Young Boys 24 12 7 5 +25 43
3 Basel 23 10 10 3 +21 40
4 Lugano 23 11 3 9 -2 36
5 Servette 24 9 5 10 -6 32
6 St. Gallen 23 8 5 10 -5 29
7 Sion 24 8 5 11 -11 29
8 Grasshoppers 23 6 9 8 +2 27
9 Luzern 23 3 9 11 -18 18
10 Lausanne 24 2 6 16 -31 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Dec -21 Zurich – Luzern 4–0 8. Aug -21 Luzern – Zurich 1–3 25. Apr -21 Luzern – Zurich 3–1 4. Mar -21 Zurich – Luzern 1–2 16. Dec -20 Luzern – Zurich 0–0

Match report

Luzern Zurich
17′
⚽ A. Ceesay 0–1
B. Džemaili
S. Sidler 🔁
↦ M. Frýdek
30′
Asumah Abubakar 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
M. Kvasina 🔁
↦ S. Campo
46′
Denis Simani 🟨
47′
Ardon Jashari 🟨
55′
C. Gentner 🔁
↦ F. Ugrinic
61′
66′
🔁 W. Gnonto
↦ A. Tosin
66′
🔁 B. Kramer
↦ A. Ceesay
69′
🟨 Blaž Kramer
70′
🟨 Blerim Džemaili
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ N. Čumić
72′
L. Emini 🔁
↦ M. Schulz
72′
75′
🔁 A. Ćorić
↦ A. Marchesano
75′
🔁 K. Mets
↦ B. Džemaili
78′
⚽ W. Gnonto 0–2
86′
🟨 Bećir Omeragić
91′
🔁 S. Khelifi
↦ Adrià Guerrero
92′
🟨 Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
5 D. Simani D
13 M. Frýdek D
2 M. Dräger D
46 M. Burch D
15 M. Schulz M
10 S. Campo M
19 F. Ugrinic M
30 A. Jashari M
20 N. Čumić F
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
34 S. Sidler
27 M. Kvasina
4 C. Gentner
7 I. Ndiaye
31 L. Emini
17 S. Grether
90 V. Vasić
6 J. Wehrmann
71 L. Jaquez

Coach: M. Frick

Zurich

3-1-4-2
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević M
6 F. Aliti D
31 M. Kryeziu D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
4 B. Omeragić D
21 B. Džemaili M
10 A. Marchesano M
20 O. Doumbia M
9 A. Ceesay F
15 A. Tosin F
Bench (9)
22 W. Gnonto
18 B. Kramer
24 A. Ćorić
28 K. Mets
26 S. Khelifi
1 Ž. Kostadinović
16 M. Hornschuh
7 B. Krasniqi
23 F. Rohner

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.