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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
St. Gallen
T T T U U
2–1
Full-time
Luzern
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Super League · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
42%
72%
Both score Ø 60%
47%
72%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
23 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St. Gallen 5. · Luzern 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 19 13 5 1 +19 44
2 Basel 20 9 4 7 +2 31
3 Zurich 20 8 4 8 +4 28
4 Lugano 19 5 11 3 +0 26
5 St. Gallen 19 6 7 6 +0 25
6 Servette 19 6 6 7 -4 24
7 Lausanne 19 6 5 8 -1 23
8 Sion 20 4 9 7 -6 21
9 Luzern 18 5 5 8 +2 20
10 Vaduz 19 3 6 10 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Oct -20 Luzern – St. Gallen 2–2 16. Jul -20 St. Gallen – Luzern 4–1 16. Feb -20 Luzern – St. Gallen 1–0 1. Dec -19 Luzern – St. Gallen 1–4 20. Jul -19 St. Gallen – Luzern 0–2

Match report

St. Gallen Luzern
14′
⚽ D. Sorgić 0–1
Boubacar Traorè 🟨
19′
Half-time 0–1
52′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ P. Schürpf
56′
🟥 Martin Frýdek
1–1 Víctor Ruiz ⚽
58′
61′
🟨 Louis Schaub
62′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ D. Sorgić
62′
🔁 L. Emini
↦ L. Schaub
B. Babic 🔁
↦ J. Guillemenot
65′
A. Kräuchi 🔁
↦ M. Nuhu
65′
70′
🟨 Christian Schwegler
2–1 K. Duah ⚽
B. Babic
72′
Euclides Cabral 🔁
↦ B. Traorè
76′
78′
🔁 S. Grether
↦ J. Wehrmann
79′
🔁 S. Sidler
↦ M. Schulz
Lukas Görtler 🟨
86′
E. Youan 🔁
↦ K. Duah
88′
Y. Letard 🔁
↦ Víctor Ruiz
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
3 M. Nuhu D
4 L. Stergiou D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
6 B. Stillhart M
16 L. Görtler M
24 K. Duah F
23 B. Fazliji D
10 Víctor Ruiz M
9 J. Guillemenot F
25 B. Traorè D
Bench (7)
34 B. Babic
29 A. Kräuchi
15 Euclides Cabral
20 E. Youan
98 Y. Letard
55 S. Diarrassouba
18 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Luzern

4-4-2
32 M. Müller G
27 C. Schwegler D
15 M. Schulz M
4 S. Knežević D
46 M. Burch D
11 P. Schürpf F
10 L. Schaub M
13 M. Frýdek D
3 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
7 I. Ndiaye
16 V. Tasar
31 L. Emini
17 S. Grether
34 S. Sidler
1 D. Zibung
6 M. Bürki

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.