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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Young Boys
S U S S U
3–1
Full-time
Basel
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Super League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 48%
50%
45%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
70%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
2,4
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Young Boys 3. · Basel 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 20 14 4 2 +20 46
2 Basel 20 9 10 1 +22 37
3 Young Boys 20 10 6 4 +22 36
4 Lugano 20 10 3 7 +1 33
5 Servette 21 8 4 9 -5 28
6 Grasshoppers 21 6 8 7 +4 26
7 Sion 20 7 4 9 -9 25
8 St. Gallen 21 6 5 10 -9 23
9 Lausanne 21 2 6 13 -26 12
10 Luzern 20 1 8 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Dec -21 Young Boys – Basel 1–1 29. Aug -21 Basel – Young Boys 1–1 8. May -21 Young Boys – Basel 2–0 3. Mar -21 Basel – Young Boys 1–1 16. Dec -20 Basel – Young Boys 0–2

Match report

Young Boys Basel
22′
⚽ M. Lang 0–1
M. Palacios
U. Garcia 🔁
↦ F. Lustenberger
35′
1–1 V. Sierro ⚽
39′
Jordan Lefort 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 Wouter Burger
Ulisses Garcia 🟨
55′
60′
🟨 Wouter Burger
60′
🟥 Wouter Burger
62′
🔁 A. Hajdari
↦ F. Chalov
2–1 M. Ngamaleu ⚽
J. Siebatcheu
69′
3–1 J. Siebatcheu ⚽
F. Rieder
71′
L. Blum 🔁
↦ Q. Maceiras
73′
K. Varga 🔁
↦ M. Sulejmani
73′
78′
🟨 Fabian Frei
Ulisses Garcia 🟨
80′
Ulisses Garcia 🟥
80′
81′
🔁 Joelson Fernandes
↦ S.Esposito
81′
🔁 D. Males
↦ D. Ndoye
82′
🔁 Tomás Tavares
↦ M. Lang
A. Amenda 🔁
↦ W. Kanga
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
1 A. Racioppi G
28 F. Lustenberger D
25 J. Lefort D
24 Q. Maceiras D
10 M. Sulejmani M
13 M. Ngamaleu M
8 V. Sierro M
30 S. Lauper D
32 F. Rieder M
17 J. Siebatcheu F
9 W. Kanga F
Bench (8)
21 U. Garcia
27 L. Blum
7 K. Varga
23 A. Amenda
60 T. Golliard
62 B. Muteba
91 G. Faivre
20 C. Niasse

Coach: D. Wagner

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lindner G
5 M. Lang D
21 A. Pelmard D
3 N. Katterbach D
20 F. Frei M
23 W. Burger D
35 M. Palacios M
99 F. Chalov F
17 L. Millar M
27 D. Ndoye M
9 S.Esposito M
Bench (9)
76 A. Hajdari
96 Joelson Fernandes
19 D. Males
30 Tomás Tavares
22 Sergio López
14 V. Stocker
6 N. Djiga
46 F. Gebhardt
40 L. Chipperfield

Coach: P. Rahmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.