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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Luzern
U T T U S
3–1
Full-time
Zurich
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 69%
77%
60%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
15 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 7. · Zurich 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 29 19 9 1 +34 66
2 Basel 31 12 8 11 +6 44
3 Lugano 30 10 13 7 +3 43
4 Lausanne 30 11 8 11 +3 41
5 Servette 30 11 8 11 -8 41
6 St. Gallen 31 9 10 12 -5 37
7 Luzern 30 9 9 12 +1 36
8 Zurich 30 9 8 13 -4 35
9 Vaduz 31 8 9 14 -16 33
10 Sion 30 6 12 12 -14 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Zurich
Ibrahima Ndiaye 🟨
1′
3′
A. Tosin 0–1
1–1 I. Ndiaye
P. Schürpf
17′
Half-time 1–1
Martin Frýdek 🟨
58′
62′
🔁 M. Schönbächler
↦ B. Kramer
L. Emini 🔁
↦ J. Wehrmann
66′
V. Tasar 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
66′
69′
🔁 A. Ceesay
↦ B. Kololli
70′
🔁 S. Seiler
↦ A. Marchesano
Pascal Schürpf 🟨
74′
1–2 B. Omeragić
own goal
76′
S. Grether 🔁
↦ C. Schwegler
79′
Filip Ugrinic 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 L. Kamberi
↦ Nathan
84′
🔁 T. Domgjoni
↦ O. Doumbia
86′
🟨 Blerim Džemaili
Y. Alounga 🔁
↦ D. Sorgić
88′
90′
🟨 Marco Schönbächler
2–2 P. Schürpf
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Luzern

4-2-2-2
32 M. Müller G
27 C. Schwegler D
13 M. Frýdek D
4 S. Knežević D
46 M. Burch D
11 P. Schürpf M
10 L. Schaub M
3 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
7 I. Ndiaye F
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
31 L. Emini
16 V. Tasar
17 S. Grether
22 Y. Alounga
1 D. Zibung
23 S. Borquaye
5 Lucas

Coach: F. Celestini

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
6 F. Aliti D
3 Nathan D
23 F. Rohner D
4 B. Omeragić D
21 B. Džemaili M
10 A. Marchesano M
70 B. Kololli M
20 O. Doumbia M
18 B. Kramer F
15 A. Tosin M
Bench (7)
27 M. Schönbächler
9 A. Ceesay
33 S. Seiler
2 L. Kamberi
14 T. Domgjoni
1 Ž. Kostadinović
71 H. Kryeziu

Coach: M. Rizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.