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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Rangers
S S U S U
4–1
Full-time
Celtic
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 72%
83%
60%
Points per game
2,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
46%
51%
Both score Ø 37%
31%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
2,3
2,1
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rangers 1. · Celtic 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 35 29 6 0 +69 93
2 Celtic 35 21 10 4 +48 73
3 Hibernian 36 17 8 11 +12 59
4 Aberdeen 36 15 11 10 +3 56
5 ST Johnstone 36 11 11 14 -6 44
6 Livingston 36 12 8 16 -9 44
7 Motherwell 36 12 8 16 -15 44
8 St Mirren 36 11 10 15 -8 43
9 Dundee United 36 10 12 14 -18 42
10 Ross County 36 9 6 21 -33 33
11 Kilmarnock 36 9 5 22 -13 32
12 Hamilton 36 7 9 20 -30 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Mar -21 Celtic – Rangers 1–1 2. Jan -21 Rangers – Celtic 1–0 17. Oct -20 Celtic – Rangers 0–2 29. Dec -19 Celtic – Rangers 1–2 1. Sep -19 Rangers – Celtic 0–2

Match report

Rangers Celtic
Jack Simpson 🟨
17′
24′
🟨 Callum McGregor
26′
🟨 Callum McGregor
26′
🟥 Callum McGregor
1–0 K. Roofe ⚽
R. Kent
26′
30′
⚽ O. Édouard 1–1
K. Ajer
2–1 A. Morelos ⚽
33′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 K. Roofe ⚽
B. Barišić
57′
60′
🔁 I. Soro
↦ S. Brown
60′
🔁 R. Christie
↦ J. Forrest
63′
🟨 Mohamed Elyounoussi
75′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ O. Édouard
S. Wright 🔁
↦ B. Barišić
79′
I. Hagi 🔁
↦ A. Morelos
84′
J. Defoe 🔁
↦ K. Roofe
86′
4–1 J. Defoe ⚽
I. Hagi
92′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Rangers

4-3-1-2
1 A. McGregor G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
31 B. Barišić D
4 J. Simpson D
10 S. Davis M
18 G. Kamara M
17 J. Ayodele-Aribo M
25 K. Roofe F
20 A. Morelos F
14 R. Kent M
Bench (7)
23 S. Wright
7 I. Hagi
9 J. Defoe
11 C. Itten
24 G. Stewart
33 J. McLaughlin
61 L. King

Coach: S. Gerrard

Celtic

4-2-3-1
29 S. Bain G
16 J. Kenny D
35 K. Ajer D
3 G. Taylor D
57 S. Welsh D
8 S. Brown M
49 J. Forrest M
42 C. McGregor M
27 M. Elyounoussi M
14 D. Turnbull M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
12 I. Soro
17 R. Christie
19 M. Johnston
9 L. Griffiths
1 V. Barkas
6 N. Bitton
10 A. Ajeti
56 A. Ralston
93 D. Laxalt

Coach: J. Kennedy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
🔒
U
3,38
🔒
B
2,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,94
🔒
U2,5
1,86
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.