Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nimes
Reims
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lille
|
35 | 22 | 10 | 3 | +37 | 76 |
| 2 |
Paris SG
|
35 | 24 | 3 | 8 | +52 | 75 |
| 3 |
Monaco
|
34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | +33 | 71 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | +32 | 67 |
| 5 |
Lens
|
35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | +7 | 56 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | +7 | 56 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 54 |
| 8 |
Montpellier
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | -3 | 47 |
| 9 |
Nice
|
35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 |
Metz
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Reims
|
34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | -2 | 41 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | -17 | 41 |
| 13 |
Brest
|
34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | -10 | 40 |
| 14 |
St Etienne
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -13 | 39 |
| 15 |
Bordeaux
|
35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | -15 | 39 |
| 16 |
Strasbourg
|
35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | -10 | 38 |
| 17 |
Lorient
|
34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -18 | 35 |
| 18 |
Nantes
|
34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -17 | 31 |
| 19 |
Nimes
|
34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -29 | 31 |
| 20 |
Dijon
|
34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | -38 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Paquiez
D
B. Meling
D
R. Ripart
M
Coach: P. Plancque
T. De Smet
D
A. Zeneli
F
M. Munetsi
D
B. Dia
F
N. Mbuku
F
Coach: D. Guion
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lens
Nimes
Nimes
Strasbourg
Brest
Nimes
Nimes
St Etienne
Lille
Nimes
B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.