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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Monaco

S S S S S

2–3

Full-time

Lyon

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

0,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 61%

65%

56%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

74%

62%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

65%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,1

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

23 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Monaco 3. · Lyon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	35	22	10	3	+37	76
2	Paris SG	35	24	3	8	+52	75
3	Monaco	34	22	5	7	+33	71
4	Lyon	34	19	10	5	+32	67
5	Lens	35	15	11	9	+7	56
6	Marseille	35	15	11	9	+7	56
7	Rennes	35	15	9	11	+11	54
8	Montpellier	35	12	11	12	-4	47
9	Metz	35	12	10	13	+0	46
10	Nice	35	13	7	15	-3	46
11	Reims	35	9	15	11	-2	42
12	St Etienne	35	11	9	15	-12	42
13	Angers	35	11	8	16	-19	41
14	Brest	35	11	7	17	-13	40
15	Bordeaux	35	11	6	18	-15	39
16	Strasbourg	35	10	8	17	-10	38
17	Lorient	35	10	8	17	-16	38
18	Nantes	35	7	13	15	-14	34
19	Nimes	35	8	8	19	-29	32
20	Dijon	35	3	9	23	-42	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Paris SG	18	12	1	5	+26	37
3	Lille	18	10	6	2	+17	36
4	Lyon	17	10	3	4	+17	33
5	Marseille	18	9	5	4	+8	32
6	Lorient	18	9	2	7	+1	29
7	Brest	18	8	4	6	+1	28
8	Lens	17	7	6	4	+5	27
9	Rennes	17	8	3	6	+3	27
10	Montpellier	18	7	3	8	-1	24
11	Bordeaux	18	6	4	8	-5	22
12	Nice	17	6	3	8	-4	21
13	Reims	17	4	8	5	-3	20
14	Metz	17	5	4	8	-4	19
15	St Etienne	17	4	6	7	-9	18
16	Angers	17	5	3	9	-9	18
17	Strasbourg	17	4	4	9	-7	16
18	Nantes	17	2	8	7	-10	14
19	Nimes	18	3	5	10	-14	14
20	Dijon	18	1	6	11	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	17	12	4	1	+20	40
2	Paris SG	17	12	2	3	+26	38
3	Lyon	17	9	7	1	+15	34
4	Monaco	17	11	0	6	+11	33
5	Lens	18	8	5	5	+2	29
6	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+8	27
7	Metz	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Nice	18	7	4	7	+1	25
9	Marseille	17	6	6	5	-1	24
10	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-3	24
11	Montpellier	17	5	8	4	-3	23
12	Angers	18	6	5	7	-10	23
13	Reims	18	5	7	6	+1	22
14	Strasbourg	18	6	4	8	-3	22
15	Nantes	18	5	5	8	-4	20
16	Nimes	17	5	3	9	-15	18
17	Bordeaux	17	5	2	10	-10	17
18	Brest	17	3	3	11	-14	12
19	Lorient	17	1	6	10	-17	9
20	Dijon	17	2	3	12	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.