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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schörgenhofer
Sturm Graz
U S T U S
0–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
50%
58%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
42%
67%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
42%
Average goals
2,6
3,6
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 5. · Wolfsberger AC 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 12 10 2 0 +38 32
2 LASK 12 9 2 1 +18 29
3 Wolfsberger AC 12 7 3 2 +17 24
4 SK Rapid 12 6 3 3 +8 21
5 Sturm Graz 12 6 2 4 +9 20
6 Hartberg 12 5 3 4 +0 18
7 Austria Vienna 12 3 3 6 -7 12
8 Tirol 12 3 3 6 -7 12
9 Mattersburg 12 3 1 8 -18 10
10 Admira 12 2 3 7 -17 9
11 Altach 12 2 1 9 -14 7
12 St. Polten 12 1 4 7 -27 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
20′
Michael Novak 0–1
23′
🟨 Shon Weissman
29′
Romano Schmid 0–2
Michael Liendl
43′
Shon Weissman 0–3
Michael Liendl
Kiril Despodov 🟨
45′
Juan Dominguez 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–3
Philipp Huspek 🔁
↦ Kiril Despodov
63′
Christoph Leitgeb 🔁
↦ Thorsten Röcher
63′
64′
🔁 Christopher Wernitznig
↦ Romano Schmid
66′
🟨 Mario Leitgeb
Stefan Hierländer 🟨
68′
70′
Christopher Wernitznig 0–4
75′
🔁 Marc Andre Schmerböck
↦ Anderson Niangbo
80′
🔁 Sven Sprangler
↦ Mario Leitgeb
Markus Pink 🔁
↦ Bekim Balaj
84′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

3-4-1-2
27 Jörg Siebenhandl G
20 Isaac Donkor D
23 Lukas Spendlhofer D
30 Ivan Ljubić D
8 Emanuel Šakić M
21 Juan Dominguez M
10 Otar Kiteishvili M
25 Stefan Hierländer M
29 Thorsten Röcher F
9 Bekim Balaj F
11 Kiril Despodov F
Bench (7)
32 Tobias Schützenauer
26 Fabian Koch
4 Thomas Schrammel
24 Christoph Leitgeb
13 Jakob Jantscher
18 Philipp Huspek
14 Markus Pink

Coach: N. El Maestro

Wolfsberger AC

4-3-1-2
31 Alexander Kofler G
27 Michael Novak D
26 Michael Sollbauer D
15 Nemanja Rnić D
7 Lukas Schmitz D
11 Romano Schmid M
16 Mario Leitgeb M
8 Marcel Ritzmaier M
10 Michael Liendl M
21 Anderson Niangbo F
9 Shon Weissman F
Bench (7)
29 Manuel Kuttin
4 Manfred Gollner
5 Stefan Perić
19 Sven Sprangler
34 Marc Andre Schmerböck
24 Christopher Wernitznig
13 Alexander Schmidt

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Schörgenhofer · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.