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Bundesliga

Referee: R Schörgenhofer

Mattersburg

S T T T

0–1

Full-time

St. Polten

T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mattersburg St. Polten

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

100%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

3,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

-2,8

-2,3

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

100%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

3,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

-2,8

-2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 4

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

26 Free kicks against 25

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mattersburg 10. · St. Polten 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+14	12
2	LASK	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Hartberg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	SK Rapid	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+4	6
6	Sturm Graz	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Tirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Altach	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Mattersburg	4	1	0	3	-11	3
11	St. Polten	4	0	2	2	-9	2
12	Admira	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Hartberg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Tirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	LASK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Altach	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+4	3
7	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	SK Rapid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Mattersburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-6	1
12	Admira	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	LASK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Admira	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	Altach	2	0	0	2	-3	0
12	Mattersburg	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.