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Super League
Referee: F Polychronis
AEK
S U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,2
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Super League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
40%
25%
Both score Ø 33%
30%
35%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
15 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 2. · Panetolikos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 21 14 4 3 +21 46
2 AEK 20 12 4 4 +22 40
3 Panathinaikos 20 11 7 2 +9 40
4 PAOK 21 10 5 6 +12 35
5 Asteras Tripolis 22 10 5 7 +5 35
6 OFI Crete 22 9 6 7 +3 33
7 Panetolikos 20 8 5 7 +1 29
8 Aris Thessalonikis 19 8 4 7 +0 28
9 Aris 19 8 4 7 +0 28
10 Atromitos 22 7 5 10 -2 26
11 Volos NFC 21 7 2 12 -17 23
12 Panserraikos 22 6 3 13 -11 21
13 Levadeiakos 20 3 9 8 -9 18
14 Athens Kallithea 21 2 9 10 -14 15
15 Lamia 20 1 6 13 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Panetolikos
28′
🟨 Charis Mavrias
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Giannis Bouzoukis
1–0 A. Martial
O. Pineda
56′
65′
🔁 S. Lomónaco
↦ A. Majdevac
65′
🔁 S. Díaz
↦ I. Bouzoukis
66′
🔁 G. Liavas
↦ Miguel Luís
Moses Odubajo 🟨
72′
D. Szymański 🔁
↦ M. Odubajo
77′
F. Pierrot 🔁
↦ L. García
78′
79′
🟨 Sebastián Lomónaco
81′
🔁 C. Belevonis
↦ A. Roa
R. Ljubičić 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
83′
83′
🔁 E. Nikolaou
↦ M. Bakakis
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ É. Lamela
87′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ J. Jønsson
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
29 M. Odubajo D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
6 J. Jønsson M
37 R. Pereyra M
9 É. Lamela M
13 O. Pineda M
26 A. Martial M
7 L. García F
Bench (9)
4 D. Szymański
14 F. Pierrot
23 R. Ljubičić
19 N. Eliasson
20 P. Mantalos
91 A. Brignoli
3 S. Pilios
11 A. Koïta
8 M. Gaćinović

Coach: M. Almeyda

Panetolikos

3-5-2
13 L. Chaves G
5 S. Mladen D
4 E. Pantelakis D
49 N. Stajić D
35 C. Mavrias M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
10 F. Pérez M
90 Miguel Luís M
2 M. Bakakis M
20 A. Roa F
7 A. Majdevac F
Bench (9)
15 S. Lomónaco
25 S. Díaz
54 G. Liavas
8 C. Belevonis
77 E. Nikolaou
6 S. Kontouris
32 A. Stergiakis
23 G. Agapakis
3 C. Manos

Coach: G. Petrakis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,16
U
6,75
B
14,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Polychronis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.