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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
ST Johnstone
S T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Dundee United
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 29%
22%
35%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
67%
35%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 10
7 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Dundee United 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 16 14 2 0 +40 44
2 Rangers 16 11 2 3 +19 35
3 Aberdeen 17 10 4 3 +10 34
4 Motherwell 17 8 2 7 -4 26
5 Dundee United 17 6 7 4 +6 25
6 St Mirren 18 7 3 8 -5 24
7 Hibernian 19 5 6 8 -5 21
8 Dundee 18 5 4 9 -6 19
9 Kilmarnock 18 4 6 8 -16 18
10 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -18 18
11 Hearts 19 4 4 11 -8 16
12 ST Johnstone 18 4 2 12 -13 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Dundee United
1–0 M. Kirk
B. Kimpioka
44′
Half-time 1–1
51′
G. Middleton 1–1
D. Gallagher
60′
S. Dalby 1–2
V. Ševelj
N. Clark 🔁
↦ B. Kimpioka
62′
A. Sidibeh 🔁
↦ D. Keltjens
62′
71′
🔁 R. Docherty
↦ R. Odada
71′
🔁 K. Trapanovski
↦ K. Fotheringham
M. Smith 🔁
↦ J. Holt
73′
Jack Sanders 🟨
80′
81′
🟨 Ross Docherty
82′
🔁 L. Stephenson
↦ V. Ševelj
82′
🔁 J. van der Sande
↦ S. Dalby
Adama Sidibeh 🟨
85′
A. Essel 🔁
↦ S. Sprangler
86′
87′
🟥 Declan Gallagher
94′
🔁 R. Graham
↦ G. Middleton
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-5-2
12 J. Rae G
5 J. Sanders D
2 B. Mikulić D
4 K. Cameron D
33 D. Keltjens M
14 D. Wright M
23 S. Sprangler M
11 G. Carey M
7 J. Holt M
27 M. Kirk F
29 B. Kimpioka F
Bench (9)
10 N. Clark
16 A. Sidibeh
22 M. Smith
15 A. Essel
46 F. Franczak
17 M. Kucheriavyi
20 R. Sinclair
6 L. Neilson
3 A. Raymond

Coach: S. Valakari

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
1 J. Walton G
16 E. Adegboyega D
31 D. Gallagher D
4 K. Holt D
2 R. Strain M
12 R. Odada M
5 V. Ševelj M
11 W. Ferry M
18 K. Fotheringham F
15 G. Middleton F
19 S. Dalby F
Bench (9)
23 R. Docherty
7 K. Trapanovski
17 L. Stephenson
20 J. van der Sande
6 R. Graham
70 M. Ubochioma
25 D. Richards
10 D. Babunski
29 M. Thomson

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U
3,27
B ✓
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.