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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Motherwell
U T S S T
1–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
19%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
54%
35%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
46%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%
13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · ST Johnstone 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 38 29 6 3 +65 93
2 Rangers 38 27 4 7 +55 85
3 Hearts 38 20 8 10 +12 68
4 Kilmarnock 38 14 14 10 +2 56
5 Aberdeen 37 12 11 14 -4 47
6 St Mirren 38 13 8 17 -6 47
7 Hibernian 37 11 12 14 -7 45
8 Motherwell 37 10 13 14 -2 43
9 Dundee 38 10 12 16 -19 42
10 Ross County 37 8 10 19 -29 34
11 ST Johnstone 37 7 11 19 -26 32
12 Livingston 37 5 9 23 -41 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jan -24 ST Johnstone – Motherwell 1–1 9. Dec -23 Motherwell – ST Johnstone 1–1 7. Nov -23 ST Johnstone – Motherwell 2–2 13. May -23 ST Johnstone – Motherwell 0–2 1. Feb -23 Motherwell – ST Johnstone 0–2

Match report

Motherwell ST Johnstone
18′
⚽ N. Clark 0–1
G. Carey
Half-time 0–2
46′
⚽ A. Sidibeh 0–2
J. Vale 🔁
↦ H. Paton
46′
52′
🟨 David Keltjens
C. Butcher 🔁
↦ B. Mugabi
64′
E. Moses 🔁
↦ L. Miller
64′
64′
🔁 A. Considine
↦ N. Clark
74′
🔁 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
↦ A. Sidibeh
M. Ferrie 🔁
↦ S. Nicholson
77′
L. Ross 🔁
↦ D. Zdravkovski
77′
93′
🔁 S. May
↦ M. Smith
1–2 E. Moses ⚽
G. Gent
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-2-1
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
5 B. Mugabi D
20 S. Blaney D
19 S. Nicholson M
17 D. Zdravkovski M
38 L. Miller M
3 G. Gent M
12 H. Paton F
7 B. Spittal F
14 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
28 J. Vale
66 C. Butcher
24 E. Moses
30 M. Ferrie
39 L. Ross
13 A. Oxborough
15 D. Casey
21 A. Devine
2 S. O'Donnell

Coach: S. Kettlewell

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
14 D. Wright D
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
33 D. Keltjens D
34 D. Phillips M
8 C. MacPherson M
22 M. Smith M
10 N. Clark M
11 G. Carey M
16 A. Sidibeh F
Bench (9)
4 A. Considine
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
7 S. May
50 C. Smith
17 O. Olufunwa
13 D. Jaiyesimi
46 F. Franczak
15 M. Kucheriavyi
31 D. Richards

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,39
🔒
U
3,54
🔒
B ✓
2,75
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,93
🔒
U2,5
1,84
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.