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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hibernian
T U T T U
2–1
Full-time
Dundee
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
24%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
64%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 7. · Dundee 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 26 21 1 4 +43 64
2 Celtic 26 19 5 2 +40 62
3 Hearts 26 16 3 7 +13 51
4 Kilmarnock 26 9 10 7 +2 37
5 St Mirren 26 10 5 11 -1 35
6 Dundee 25 8 8 9 -4 32
7 Hibernian 25 6 9 10 -10 27
8 Aberdeen 25 6 9 10 -10 27
9 Motherwell 26 5 11 10 -6 26
10 ST Johnstone 26 5 9 12 -18 24
11 Ross County 26 5 7 14 -22 22
12 Livingston 27 3 7 17 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Nov -23 Dundee – Hibernian 1–2 30. Sep -23 Hibernian – Dundee 0–0 10. May -22 Dundee – Hibernian 3–1 2. Mar -22 Dundee – Hibernian 0–0 14. Dec -21 Hibernian – Dundee 1–0

Match report

Hibernian Dundee
24′
🟨 Amadou Bakayoko
1–0 D. Vente ⚽
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Lamie
↦ D. Costelloe
46′
🔁 M. Mellon
↦ S. Tiffoney
56′
🟨 Aaron Donnelly
Dylan Vente ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
59′
L. Amos 🔁
↦ N. Moriah-Welsh
59′
60′
🔁 J. Mulligan
↦ L. Cameron
66′
🔁 C. Main
↦ A. Bakayoko
67′
🔁 M. Boateng
↦ M. Sylla
78′
⚽ L. McCowan 1–1
2–1 M. Maolida ⚽
D. Vente
81′
N. Triantis 🔁
↦ E. Marcondes
84′
A. Le Fondre 🔁
↦ D. Vente
84′
P. Hanlon 🔁
↦ R. Bushiri
89′
Jair Tavares 🔁
↦ M. Boyle
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
21 J. Obita D
30 N. Moriah-Welsh M
11 J. Newell M
10 M. Boyle M
20 E. Marcondes M
17 M. Maolida M
9 D. Vente F
Bench (9)
15 L. Amos
23 N. Triantis
19 A. Le Fondre
4 P. Hanlon
29 Jair Tavares
14 Eliezer Mayenda
7 É. Youan
13 J. Wollacott
16 L. Stevenson

Coach: N. Montgomery

Dundee

4-3-3
31 T. Carson G
6 J. McGhee D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
25 A. Donnelly D
63 O. Beck D
10 L. Cameron M
28 M. Sylla M
17 L. McCowan M
44 D. Costelloe F
9 A. Bakayoko F
7 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (9)
12 R. Lamie
26 M. Mellon
15 J. Mulligan
8 C. Main
23 M. Boateng
4 R. Astley
19 F. Robertson
22 J. McCracken
3 O. Dodgson

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
🔒
U
3,57
🔒
B
3,39
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,74
🔒
U2,5
2,06
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.