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Premiership
Referee: I Snedden
ST Johnstone
T T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Dundee
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 30/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
20%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
30%
62%
Both score Ø 48%
40%
55%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 2
8 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 10. · Dundee 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 30 22 5 3 +48 71
2 Rangers 29 23 1 5 +48 70
3 Hearts 30 17 4 9 +9 55
4 Kilmarnock 30 11 11 8 +6 44
5 St Mirren 30 12 6 12 -1 42
6 Hibernian 30 9 11 10 -4 38
7 Dundee 29 9 9 11 -10 36
8 Motherwell 30 7 11 12 -6 32
9 Aberdeen 30 7 9 14 -15 30
10 ST Johnstone 30 6 10 14 -20 28
11 Ross County 30 6 9 15 -23 27
12 Livingston 30 3 8 19 -32 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Dundee
6′
L. Cameron 0–1
A. Bakayoko
Maksym Kucheriavyi 🟨
31′
David Keltjens 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Sidibeh
60′
62′
🔁 J. McGhee
↦ D. Costelloe
62′
🔁 M. Mellon
↦ S. Tiffoney
Luke Robinson 🟨
71′
B. Mbunga Kimpioka 🔁
↦ A. Sidibeh
77′
78′
🔁 R. Howley
↦ O. Dodgson
80′
A. Bakayoko 1–2
L. McCowan
82′
🟨 Michael Mellon
G. Carey 🔁
↦ T. Gallacher
83′
S. May 🔁
↦ N. Clark
83′
87′
🔁 R. Lamie
↦ L. Cameron
Ryan McGowan ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
92′
Matthew Smith 🟨
94′
Ryan McGowan 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-5-2
1 D. Mitov G
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
19 L. Robinson D
33 D. Keltjens M
15 M. Kucheriavyi M
34 D. Phillips M
22 M. Smith M
3 T. Gallacher M
16 A. Sidibeh F
10 N. Clark F
Bench (8)
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
11 G. Carey
7 S. May
50 C. Smith
21 A. Crawford
4 A. Considine
31 D. Richards
46 F. Franczak

Coach: C. Levein

Dundee

3-5-2
22 J. McCracken G
29 A. Portales D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
25 A. Donnelly D
44 D. Costelloe M
10 L. Cameron M
28 M. Sylla M
17 L. McCowan M
3 O. Dodgson M
7 S. Tiffoney F
9 A. Bakayoko F
Bench (9)
6 J. McGhee
26 M. Mellon
21 R. Howley
12 R. Lamie
16 Z. Robinson
30 H. Sharp
4 R. Astley
23 M. Boateng
19 F. Robertson

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,18
B ✓
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Snedden · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.