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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Dundee
S S T T U
1–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 7. · Aberdeen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 29 23 1 5 +48 70
2 Celtic 29 21 5 3 +46 68
3 Hearts 29 17 4 8 +10 55
4 St Mirren 29 12 6 11 +2 42
5 Kilmarnock 29 10 11 8 +3 41
6 Hibernian 28 8 10 10 -7 34
7 Dundee 28 8 9 11 -11 33
8 Motherwell 29 7 11 11 -5 32
9 ST Johnstone 29 6 10 13 -18 28
10 Aberdeen 28 6 9 13 -15 27
11 Ross County 28 5 8 15 -24 23
12 Livingston 29 3 8 18 -29 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Aberdeen
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 Duk
↦ J. Hoilett
Juan Portales ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
64′
1–0 L. McCowan
66′
71′
🔁 L. Clarkson
↦ K. Phillips
80′
🔁 E. Sokler
↦ C. Barron
83′
🟨 Jamie McGrath
F. Robertson 🔁
↦ S. Tiffoney
92′
R. Lamie 🔁
↦ D. Costelloe
92′
Curtis Main 🟨
93′
Luke McCowan 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dundee

3-5-2
22 J. McCracken G
29 A. Portales D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
25 A. Donnelly D
44 D. Costelloe M
10 L. Cameron M
28 M. Sylla M
17 L. McCowan M
3 O. Dodgson M
8 C. Main F
7 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (8)
19 F. Robertson
12 R. Lamie
23 M. Boateng
9 A. Bakayoko
30 H. Sharp
4 R. Astley
1 A. Legzdiņš
26 M. Mellon

Coach: T. Docherty

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
6 S. Gartenmann D
27 A. MacDonald D
3 J. MacKenzie D
8 C. Barron M
4 G. Shinnie M
7 J. McGrath M
18 K. Phillips M
30 J. Hoilett M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
11 Duk
10 L. Clarkson
19 E. Sokler
5 R. Jensen
21 D. Polvara
15 J. McGarry
28 J. Milne
23 R. Duncan
31 R. Doohan

Coach: P. Leven

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,42
B
2,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.