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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
St Mirren
T T S S T
2–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
38%
19%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
42%
31%
Both score Ø 33%
27%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 5. · ST Johnstone 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 26 21 1 4 +43 64
2 Celtic 26 19 5 2 +40 62
3 Hearts 26 16 3 7 +13 51
4 Kilmarnock 26 9 10 7 +2 37
5 St Mirren 26 10 5 11 -1 35
6 Dundee 25 8 8 9 -4 32
7 Hibernian 25 6 9 10 -10 27
8 Aberdeen 25 6 9 10 -10 27
9 Motherwell 26 5 11 10 -6 26
10 ST Johnstone 26 5 9 12 -18 24
11 Ross County 26 5 7 14 -22 22
12 Livingston 27 3 7 17 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Dec -23 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 1–0 28. Oct -23 St Mirren – ST Johnstone 4–0 25. Feb -23 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 1–1 9. Nov -22 St Mirren – ST Johnstone 2–2 3. Sep -22 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 3–0

Match report

St Mirren ST Johnstone
0–1 D. Mitov ⚽
own goal
36′
Half-time 0–1
63′
🔁 D. Jaiyesimi
↦ G. Carey
1–1 M. Mandron ⚽
64′
Hyeok-kyu Kwon ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
73′
K. Baccus 🔁
↦ Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
75′
T. Olusanya 🔁
↦ L. Jamieson
75′
75′
🔁 M. Kucheriavyi
↦ K. Smith
77′
🟨 Adama Sidibeh
79′
🟨 Daniel Phillips
J. Ayunga 🔁
↦ M. Mandron
83′
Keanu Baccus 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
2 J. Bolton D
13 A. Gogić D
22 M. Fraser D
42 E. Bwomono M
16 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
24 L. Jamieson F
9 M. Mandron F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
17 K. Baccus
20 T. Olusanya
7 J. Ayunga
27 P. Urminský
5 R. Taylor
21 J. Brown
8 R. Flynn
14 J. Scott
18 C. Dunne

Coach: S. Robinson

ST Johnstone

3-5-1-1
1 D. Mitov G
35 K. Smith D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
3 T. Gallacher M
22 M. Smith M
34 D. Phillips M
11 G. Carey M
19 L. Robinson M
10 N. Clark F
16 A. Sidibeh F
Bench (9)
13 D. Jaiyesimi
15 M. Kucheriavyi
23 S. Sprangler
17 O. Olufunwa
50 C. Smith
33 D. Keltjens
31 D. Richards
7 S. May
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
🔒
U
3,29
🔒
B
4,71
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,50
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,51
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.