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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
St Mirren
T U S T T
2–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 45%
46%
43%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
62%
64%
Both score Ø 41%
31%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Mirren 8. · ST Johnstone 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 12 0 1 +35 36
2 Rangers 13 9 2 2 +19 29
3 Aberdeen 14 7 1 6 +5 22
4 Livingston 14 7 1 6 -5 22
5 Hearts 13 6 2 5 +0 20
6 Hibernian 15 6 2 7 -4 20
7 ST Johnstone 14 6 1 7 -2 19
8 St Mirren 13 6 1 6 -6 19
9 Motherwell 14 5 1 8 -1 16
10 Ross County 15 4 3 8 -12 15
11 Kilmarnock 14 3 3 8 -12 12
12 Dundee United 14 2 3 9 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren ST Johnstone
31′
ℹ️ Drey Wright
VAR: Penalty confirmed
33′
G. Carey 0–1
40′
🟨 Graham Carey
1–1 G. Kiltie
42′
Half-time 1–1
Charles Dunne 🟨
54′
Trevor Carson 🟨
61′
62′
ℹ️ Alex Mitchell
VAR: Card upgrade
63′
🟨 Melker Hallberg
63′
🟥 Alex Mitchell
64′
🔁 L. Gordon
↦ C. McLennan
67′
🔁 A. Crawford
↦ J. Murphy
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ D. Gallagher
75′
J. Ayunga 🔁
↦ A. Greive
75′
2–1 M. O'Hara
G. Kiltie
81′
83′
🔁 T. Bair
↦ D. Wright
A. Gogić 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
84′
J. Shaughnessy 🔁
↦ C. Main
84′
84′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ G. Carey
90′
🟨 Ryan McGowan
Mark O'Hara 🟨
93′
Scott Tanser 🟨
95′
96′
N. Clark 2–2
A. Crawford
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
11 G. Kiltie M
16 E. Erhahon M
6 M. O'Hara M
10 C. Main F
21 A. Greive
Bench (9)
9 E. Brophy
7 J. Ayunga
13 A. Gogić
4 J. Shaughnessy
12 J. Henderson
20 T. Olusanya
15 D. Reid
8 R. Flynn
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 R. Matthews G
13 R. McGowan D
5 A. Mitchell D
4 A. Considine D
14 D. Wright M
22 M. Hallberg M
23 G. Carey M
2 J. Brown M
29 J. Murphy F
37 N. Clark F
26 C. McLennan F
Bench (9)
6 L. Gordon
21 A. Crawford
17 T. Bair
10 D. Wotherspoon
19 A. Montgomery
27 M. Kucheryavyi
12 E. Parish
34 D. Phillips
3 T. Gallacher

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U ✓
3,27
B
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.