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Svenska Cupen

Referee: G Nyberg

AIK

T U U S S

1–0

Full-time

Gefle IF

S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Gefle IF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match AIK 8. · Gefle IF 48. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	United Nordic	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	AIK	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Elfsborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Varnamo	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
16	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Orebro SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
19	Orgryte	3	2	0	1	-2	6
20	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+6	4
21	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	GAIS	3	1	1	1	-1	4
23	IFK Luleå	4	1	1	2	-11	4
24	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+10	3
25	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
26	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+4	3
27	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Jonsered	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Lund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	IK brage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
60	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Franke	2	0	1	1	-5	1
66	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
67	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+5	4
2	IFK Luleå	4	1	1	2	-11	4
3	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
4	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	United Nordic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
28	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
29	Norrkoping	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
33	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
34	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Lund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Husqvarna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Varberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Jonsered	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	Franke	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	IFK Österåker	1	0	0	1	-6	0
66	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Varberg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	GAIS	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
8	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+6	3
10	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+6	3
11	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-3	3
46	IK brage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
47	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.