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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Ross County
U T T T T
3–2
Full-time
Livingston
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 14%
16%
12%
Points per game
0,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
44%
38%
Both score Ø 33%
28%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,6
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 11. · Livingston 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 26 21 1 4 +43 64
2 Celtic 26 19 5 2 +40 62
3 Hearts 26 16 3 7 +13 51
4 Kilmarnock 26 9 10 7 +2 37
5 St Mirren 26 10 5 11 -1 35
6 Dundee 25 8 8 9 -4 32
7 Hibernian 25 6 9 10 -10 27
8 Aberdeen 25 6 9 10 -10 27
9 Motherwell 26 5 11 10 -6 26
10 ST Johnstone 26 5 9 12 -18 24
11 Ross County 25 4 7 14 -23 19
12 Livingston 26 3 7 16 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Jan -24 Livingston – Ross County 2–2 16. Sep -23 Ross County – Livingston 1–1 6. May -23 Ross County – Livingston 2–0 18. Mar -23 Livingston – Ross County 2–1 7. Jan -23 Ross County – Livingston 0–2

Match report

Ross County Livingston
1–0 E. Brophy ⚽
S. Murray
21′
2–0 E. Brophy ⚽
S. Murray
27′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Mackay
↦ A. Shinnie
46′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ S. Kelly
47′
⚽ B. Anderson 2–1
59′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ M. Sangare
66′
🟨 Michael Nottingham
E. King 🔁
↦ T. Jenks
68′
Max Sheaf 🟨
75′
J. Sims 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
77′
83′
🔁 K. Guthrie
↦ J. Brandon
86′
⚽ B. Anderson 2–2
T. Yengi
J. Brown 🔁
↦ V. Loturi
87′
Simon Murray 🟨
89′
3–2 J. Sims ⚽
J. White
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-3
40 G. Wickens G
24 M. Efete D
28 L. Ayina D
42 R. Leak D
21 T. Jenks M
14 V. Loturi M
12 M. Sheaf M
43 J. Reid M
27 E. Brophy F
26 J. White F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (8)
18 E. King
11 J. Sims
4 J. Brown
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson
19 B. Khela
16 G. Harmon
41 L. Ross
17 J. Henderson

Coach: D. Cowie

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 S. George G
12 J. Brandon D
21 M. Nottingham D
6 A. Obileye D
20 M. Sangare D
4 D. Carson M
18 J. Holt M
19 J. Nouble M
22 A. Shinnie M
10 S. Kelly M
33 T. Yengi F
Bench (7)
11 D. Mackay
9 B. Anderson
24 S. Kelly
28 K. Guthrie
32 J. Hamilton
5 M. Devlin
3 C. Montaño

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
🔒
U
3,23
🔒
B
3,28
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,14
🔒
U2,5
1,68
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.