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Bundesliga
Referee: S Barmaksiz
Salzburg
S S T U U
7–0
Full-time
A. Lustenau
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg A. Lustenau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
63%
5%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 32%
37%
26%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,9
0,5
Conceded
0,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

78% Possession 22%
22 Shots 2
11 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · A. Lustenau 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 19 12 5 2 +24 41
2 Sturm Graz 19 11 6 2 +16 39
3 LASK 19 9 7 3 +10 34
4 Hartberg 19 8 6 5 +5 30
5 A. Klagenfurt 19 7 9 3 +1 30
6 SK Rapid 19 7 7 5 +14 28
7 Austria Vienna 19 7 6 6 +3 27
8 Wolfsberger AC 19 7 5 7 +0 26
9 BW Linz 19 4 7 8 -11 19
10 Altach 19 4 5 10 -12 17
11 Tirol 19 3 2 14 -19 11
12 A. Lustenau 19 1 3 15 -31 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Sep -23 A. Lustenau – Salzburg 0–4 11. Feb -23 Salzburg – A. Lustenau 4–0 27. Aug -22 A. Lustenau – Salzburg 0–6

Match report

Salzburg A. Lustenau
1–0 Fernando ⚽
L. Sučić
4′
1–1 Matheus Lins ⚽
own goal
13′
2–1 M. Kjærgaard ⚽
O. Gloukh
18′
29′
🟨 Kennedy Boateng
3–1 Fernando ⚽
P. Ratkov
32′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 F. Gmeiner
↦ A. Schmid
46′
🔁 N. Gorzel
↦ T. Rhein
46′
🔁 Y. Diaby
↦ N. Cissé
4–1 O. Gloukh ⚽
L. Sučić
54′
R. Šimić 🔁
↦ P. Ratkov
66′
K. Konaté 🔁
↦ Fernando
66′
S. Koïta 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
66′
M. Bidstrup 🔁
↦ L. Sučić
67′
5–1 K. Konaté ⚽
S. Koïta
72′
75′
🔁 M. Maak
↦ L. Meisl
A. Dedić 🔁
↦ A. Terzić
80′
6–1 S. Koïta ⚽
88′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
25 F. Daniliuc D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
3 A. Terzić D
10 L. Sučić M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
30 O. Gloukh M
11 Fernando F
21 P. Ratkov F
Bench (7)
23 R. Šimić
19 K. Konaté
20 S. Koïta
18 M. Bidstrup
70 A. Dedić
15 M. Diambou
13 T. Horn

Coach: G. Struber

A. Lustenau

5-3-2
27 D. Schierl G
28 Anderson D
3 K. Boateng D
55 L. Meisl D
13 Matheus Lins D
4 T. Berger D
18 A. Schmid M
5 L. Mätzler M
8 T. Rhein M
15 N. Cissé F
12 L. Mikić F
Bench (7)
7 F. Gmeiner
20 N. Gorzel
22 Y. Diaby
31 M. Maak
10 L. Fridrikas
23 P. Grabher
21 A. Helac

Coach: A. Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Barmaksiz · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.