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Serie B

Referee: D Chiffi

Como

U T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Parma

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 58%

52%

64%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

52%

60%

Both score Ø 52%

44%

60%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

5 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Como 5. · Parma 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	25	16	6	3	+23	54
2	Cremonese	26	13	8	5	+16	47
3	Palermo	26	13	7	6	+16	46
4	Venezia	25	13	6	6	+14	45
5	Como	25	13	6	6	+5	45
6	Catanzaro	26	12	6	8	+5	42
7	Cittadella	26	10	6	10	-2	36
8	Brescia	26	8	10	8	+1	34
9	Modena	25	8	10	7	-3	34
10	Bari	26	7	12	7	-3	33
11	Sampdoria	26	9	6	11	-6	33
12	Cosenza	26	8	8	10	+1	32
13	Sudtirol	26	8	7	11	-3	31
14	Reggiana	26	6	13	7	-3	31
15	Pisa	25	7	9	9	-1	30
16	Ascoli	26	6	8	12	-6	26
17	Ternana	25	6	7	12	-4	25
18	Spezia	25	5	10	10	-13	25
19	FeralpiSalo	26	5	6	15	-15	21
20	Lecco	25	5	5	15	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	13	8	5	0	+12	29
2	Venezia	13	8	3	2	+9	27
3	Palermo	13	8	1	4	+11	25
4	Catanzaro	13	7	3	3	+7	24
5	Como	12	7	3	2	+6	24
6	Cremonese	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Cittadella	14	7	2	5	+4	23
8	Bari	13	5	6	2	+2	21
9	Modena	12	5	3	4	+1	18
10	Brescia	13	4	5	4	+0	17
11	Cosenza	13	4	4	5	+4	16
12	Sudtirol	13	4	3	6	-2	15
13	Sampdoria	13	4	3	6	-3	15
14	Ternana	13	3	5	5	+1	14
15	Pisa	12	3	5	4	+0	14
16	Reggiana	13	2	8	3	-3	14
17	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	+0	13
18	Spezia	12	2	6	4	-1	12
19	FeralpiSalo	13	3	3	7	-2	12
20	Lecco	12	3	1	8	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	8	1	3	+11	25
2	Cremonese	12	7	3	2	+8	24
3	Palermo	13	5	6	2	+5	21
4	Como	13	6	3	4	-1	21
5	Venezia	12	5	3	4	+5	18
6	Catanzaro	13	5	3	5	-2	18
7	Sampdoria	13	5	3	5	-3	18
8	Brescia	13	4	5	4	+1	17
9	Reggiana	13	4	5	4	+0	17
10	Sudtirol	13	4	4	5	-1	16
11	Pisa	13	4	4	5	-1	16
12	Cosenza	13	4	4	5	-3	16
13	Modena	13	3	7	3	-4	16
14	Ascoli	14	3	4	7	-6	13
15	Cittadella	12	3	4	5	-6	13
16	Spezia	13	3	4	6	-12	13
17	Bari	13	2	6	5	-5	12
18	Ternana	12	3	2	7	-5	11
19	Lecco	13	2	4	7	-13	10
20	FeralpiSalo	13	2	3	8	-13	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.