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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

Mechelen

S U S U S

3–0

Full-time

Kortrijk

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 18/21 matches

Win Ø 27%

39%

14%

Points per game

1,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

39%

62%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,1

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,09 xG 0,66

53% Possession 47%

9 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

2 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 8. · Kortrijk 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	17	14	2	1	+24	+19.5	44
2	Anderlecht	17	11	5	1	+19	+12.2	38
3	Club Brugge	18	11	4	3	+31	+31.9	37
4	Cercle Brugge	16	12	1	3	+17	+12.3	37
5	Antwerp	17	8	6	3	+24	+17.9	30
6	Genk	17	8	6	3	+19	+22.5	30
7	Gent	16	7	5	4	+7	+7.4	26
8	Mechelen	18	7	5	6	+1	-2.7	26
9	Westerlo	18	5	5	8	-5	-7.3	20
10	Standard	17	4	7	6	-7	-9.1	19
11	St Truiden	17	4	6	7	-13	-8.1	18
12	RWD Molenbeek	22	4	6	12	-28	-29.0	18
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	3	6	9	-10	-4.9	15
14	Charleroi	21	3	6	12	-18	-13.5	15
15	Kortrijk	21	3	4	14	-31	-22.4	13
16	Eupen	20	3	2	15	-30	-26.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	7	1	0	+15	+10.8	22
2	Cercle Brugge	8	7	1	0	+14	+10.2	22
3	Anderlecht	8	7	1	0	+13	+9.7	22
4	Club Brugge	9	6	3	0	+19	+17.5	21
5	Antwerp	9	5	3	1	+18	+13.7	18
6	Mechelen	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.4	16
7	Genk	8	4	3	1	+11	+14.5	15
8	Gent	8	4	3	1	+6	+6.1	15
9	RWD Molenbeek	11	3	4	4	-9	-9.9	13
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	3	3	3	+4	-1.2	12
11	Westerlo	8	4	0	4	+0	-2.4	12
12	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	-4	-1.2	12
13	Charleroi	11	3	3	5	-6	-0.8	12
14	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
15	Kortrijk	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.3	9
16	Eupen	10	2	1	7	-12	-10.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	7	1	1	+9	+8.7	22
2	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
3	Anderlecht	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.5	16
4	Genk	9	4	3	2	+8	+8.1	15
5	Cercle Brugge	8	5	0	3	+3	+2.1	15
6	Antwerp	8	3	3	2	+6	+4.2	12
7	Gent	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.3	11
8	Mechelen	9	3	1	5	-5	-5.1	10
9	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
10	Standard	8	1	5	2	-6	-6.8	8
11	St Truiden	8	1	3	4	-9	-6.9	6
12	RWD Molenbeek	11	1	2	8	-19	-19.0	5
13	Eupen	10	1	1	8	-18	-16.4	4
14	Kortrijk	10	1	1	8	-21	-16.1	4
15	Charleroi	10	0	3	7	-12	-12.7	3
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	0	3	6	-14	-3.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.