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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Hibernian
T S T U T
4–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 25%
27%
22%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
35%
32%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
0,9
0,6
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 8. · ST Johnstone 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 38 29 6 3 +70 93
2 Rangers 38 27 8 3 +49 89
3 Hearts 38 17 10 11 +10 61
4 Livingston 38 13 10 15 -5 49
5 Dundee United 38 12 12 14 -7 48
6 Motherwell 38 12 10 16 -19 46
7 St Mirren 37 10 13 14 -18 43
8 Hibernian 37 10 12 15 -8 42
9 Ross County 38 10 11 17 -14 41
10 Aberdeen 37 10 10 17 -5 40
11 ST Johnstone 37 8 11 18 -23 35
12 Dundee 38 6 11 21 -30 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian ST Johnstone
1–0 P. McGinn
E. Melkersen
44′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. Scott
P. McGinn
48′
Darren McGregor 🟨
54′
55′
🟨 Shaun Rooney
57′
🔁 M. O'Halloran
↦ J. Mahon
58′
🟨 Charlie Gilmour
3–0 J. Scott
J. Newell
61′
M. Aiken 🔁
↦ H. Clarke
67′
R. Hamilton 🔁
↦ E. Melkersen
76′
76′
🔁 L. Gordon
↦ S. Rooney
76′
🔁 L. Craig
↦ J. Butterfield
O. MacIntyre 🔁
↦ R. Porteous
77′
J. Blaney 🔁
↦ P. McGinn
85′
A. Delferriere 🔁
↦ E. Henderson
85′
4–0 J. Scott
J. Doig
88′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 M. Macey G
16 L. Stevenson M
24 D. McGregor D
6 P. McGinn D
5 R. Porteous D
2 H. Clarke M
3 J. Doig M
11 J. Newell M
80 E. Henderson F
25 J. Scott F
34 E. Melkersen F
Bench (9)
47 M. Aiken
48 R. Hamilton
49 O. MacIntyre
46 J. Blaney
36 A. Delferriere
33 R. Bushiri
32 J. Campbell
21 M. Dąbrowski
20 S. Jasper

Coach: S. Maloney

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
12 E. Parish G
5 D. Cleary D
19 S. Rooney M
4 J. Mccart D
27 T. Sang M
16 J. Mahon D
34 J. Butterfield M
15 C. Gilmour M
18 C. MacPherson F
23 N. Çiftçi F
14 G. Middleton F
Bench (7)
11 M. O'Halloran
6 L. Gordon
26 L. Craig
29 M. Hallberg
22 C. Hendry
2 J. Brown
20 R. Sinclair

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,18
B
4,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,59
U2,5
1,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.