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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Antwerp
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Genk
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
0,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 74%
74%
74%
Points per game
2,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
42%
71%
Both score Ø 45%
29%
61%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 3. · Genk 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 32 24 4 4 +30 76
2 Genk 31 23 6 2 +49 75
3 Antwerp 31 23 4 4 +39 73
4 Gent 32 19 5 8 +36 62
5 Club Brugge 32 17 7 8 +27 58
6 Charleroi 35 16 6 13 +2 54
7 Cercle Brugge 32 14 11 7 +12 53
8 Anderlecht 35 15 7 13 +11 52
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 9 13 +12 51
10 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
11 Standard 31 13 6 12 +3 45
12 Westerlo 32 11 10 11 +2 43
13 Mechelen 35 11 7 17 -18 40
14 Kortrijk 36 10 7 19 -22 37
15 Waregem 36 7 10 19 -26 31
16 Eupen 36 8 7 21 -36 31
17 Oostende 36 7 7 22 -40 28
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Genk
20′
M. McKenzie 0–1
Toby Alderweireld ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
28′
38′
🟨 Bilal El Khannouss
Arbnor Muja 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
C. Stengs 🔁
↦ A. Muja
46′
1–1 T. Alderweireld
47′
2–1 M. Balikwisha
52′
58′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ M. Samatta
58′
🔁 L. Oyen
↦ B. El Khannouss
64′
🟨 Gerardo Arteaga
A. Yusuf 🔁
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
73′
79′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ Mujaid Sadick
Z. Van Den Bosch 🔁
↦ W. Pacho
83′
G. Kerk 🔁
↦ M. Balikwisha
83′
Calvin Stengs 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 Y. Sor
↦ P. Hrošovský
91′
🟨 Aziz Ouattara Mohammed
92′
🟨 Bryan Heynen
96′
🟥 Mike Trésor
97′
🟨 Aziz Ouattara Mohammed
97′
🟥 Aziz Ouattara Mohammed
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
34 J. Bataille D
23 T. Alderweireld D
51 W. Pacho D
22 G. Ávila D
27 M. Keita M
48 A. Vermeeren M
11 A. Muja M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
10 M. Balikwisha M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
14 C. Stengs
8 A. Yusuf
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
7 G. Kerk
32 C. Scott
26 O. De Wolf
52 K. Corbanie

Coach: M. van Bommel

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
7 M. Samatta F
Bench (7)
99 T. Arokodare
24 L. Oyen
4 A. Ouattara
14 Y. Sor
77 A. Preciado
40 T. Leysen
19 A. Ait El Hadj

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,64
U
3,50
B
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.