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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Villarreal B
U T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal B Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 31%
32%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
32%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
45%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Villarreal B 18. · Sp Gijon 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 38 18 13 7 +10 67
2 Granada 39 19 9 11 +19 66
3 Alaves 39 18 12 9 +13 66
4 Levante 39 16 17 6 +14 65
5 Las Palmas 38 16 16 6 +16 64
6 Albacete 38 15 14 9 +5 59
7 Cartagena 38 16 9 13 +5 57
8 Tenerife 39 13 14 12 +5 53
9 Burgos 38 13 14 11 +3 53
10 Mirandes 39 13 13 13 -1 52
11 Oviedo 38 14 10 14 -2 52
12 Andorra 38 14 9 15 +8 51
13 Zaragoza 38 11 16 11 +1 49
14 Leganes 39 13 10 16 -6 49
15 Sp Gijon 38 11 15 12 +0 48
16 Huesca 39 10 18 11 +0 48
17 Santander 39 12 12 15 -3 48
18 Villarreal B 38 12 10 16 -6 46
19 Malaga 38 9 13 16 -6 40
20 Ponferradina 38 7 15 16 -18 36
21 Ibiza 38 6 11 21 -29 29
22 Lugo 38 5 12 21 -28 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal B Sp Gijon
8′
🔁 José Marsà
↦ Pablo Ínsua
37′
🟨 José Marsà
1–0 Javi Ontiveros
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Aitor García
↦ I. Jeraldino
52′
🟨 José Marsà
52′
🟥 José Marsà
61′
🔁 Dani Queipo
↦ Pedro Díaz
61′
🔁 Cote
↦ Diego Sánchez
Carlo Adriano 🔁
↦ Diego Collado
65′
Sergio Carreira 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
76′
Sergio Lozano 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
76′
82′
🔁 U. Đurđević
↦ Nacho Martín
2–0 Sergio Carreira
Sergio Lozano
84′
T. Geralnik 🔁
↦ Ramón Terrats
85′
Álex Forés 🔁
↦ Álex Millán
85′
94′
🟨 Uroš Đurđević
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Villarreal B

4-4-2
13 Iker Álvarez G
2 Migue Leal D
4 Dela D
23 M. Fall D
3 Dani Tasende D
7 Diego Collado M
6 Alberto del Moral M
16 Ramón Terrats M
10 Javi Ontiveros M
9 Álex Millán F
11 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
8 Carlo Adriano
5 Sergio Carreira
21 Sergio Lozano
22 T. Geralnik
17 Álex Forés
15 N. Iosifov
32 T. Ojeda
25 Gianni
20 Antonio Pacheco
27 Abraham del Moral
18 Carlos Romero
14 H. Hassan

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Sp Gijon

3-5-2
1 Iván Cuéllar G
24 C. Izquierdoz D
5 Bruno D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
2 Guille Rosas M
8 Pedro Díaz M
33 Nacho Martín M
37 J. Varane M
32 Diego Sánchez M
19 J. Otero F
14 I. Jeraldino F
Bench (11)
6 José Marsà
7 Aitor García
16 Dani Queipo
3 Cote
23 U. Đurđević
29 Jordi Pola
43 L. Miguel
12 Cristo González
21 U. Milovanović
13 G. De Amores
20 J. Carrillo

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,13
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.